Stock Ratings / Materials / URG / options

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Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.85 -4.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.84

Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $356.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on URG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is URG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (NYSE: URG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $0.85 (-4.97% 1D, market cap $356.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, URG ranks #251 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does URG compare to VGZ and VOXR in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), URG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 0.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, VGZ (Vista Gold Corp) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $376.6M) and VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $337.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for URG?

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Per URG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001375205), Ur Energy Inc (Canada) generated $27.2M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$74.9M in net income, and -$66.7M in free cash flow against $272.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.84 (-1.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for URG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY URG SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (35% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$0.92-9.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.83-1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.82+3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.85-10.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a URG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While URG currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.12) and Max Pain ($0.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.26.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $URG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “URG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (URG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for URG.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring URG)

✓Walkthrough of URG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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URG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.98%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $0.92H $0.92L $0.85C $0.85VOL 8.69M

RES: $0.90SUP: $0.75SMA50: $1.12SMA200: $1.44

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

URG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 URG Butterfly Map → + Track URG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on URG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for URG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for URG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (URG)

Materials Rank #251 of 270 ⚔️ VGZ vs URG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (URG vs. VGZ, VOXR, TRX, IDR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) ranks #251 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #191 by equity capitalization ($356.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with URG at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
URG ACTIVE Ur Energy Inc (Canada)	E	26/100	—	0.3%	-35.0%	-4.97%	$356.6M	Benchmark Subject
VGZ Vista Gold Corp	D-	42/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.49%	$376.6M	/vgz-vs-urg →
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-5.57%	$337.1M	/voxr-vs-urg →
TRX TRX Gold Corporation	D	47/100	—	—	—	-8.03%	$334.0M	/trx-vs-urg →
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.	D+	55/100	19.6x	61.8%	11.4%	-5.22%	$327.1M	/idr-vs-urg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001375205

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) reported GAAP revenue of $27.2M (-19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.7M , and +53.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$74.9M, operating cash flow of -$43.1M, and free cash flow of -$66.7M (+17.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, URG closed FY2025 with $272.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$27.2M	-$74.9M	-$43.1M	-$66.7M	$272.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$33.7M	-$53.2M	-$71.9M	-$81.0M	$194.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$17.7M	-$30.7M	-$17.0M	-$17.0M	—	—

3. URG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is URG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does URG compare to VGZ and VOXR in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for URG?

Where is URG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

URG last traded at $0.85 (-4.97% on volume of 7,599,121 shares), positioning the stock -24.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.12) and -40.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.44). Across its 52-week range of $0.79 to $2.15, URG sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.96).

URG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is URG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for URG.

Direct Sub-Reports: URG RQD Cockpit URG 12M Forecast URG Earnings & Move URG Dividends & DRIP URG Insiders & 13F URG Whale Options URG Profit Sankey URG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

URG — Ur Energy Inc (Canada): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, URG carries an RQD Score of 26 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 9 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -18.72%; for a prospective investor, this indicates the business is currently not generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 3 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), suggesting weak institutional support in the source data. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 3 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), indicating limited insider-side confirmation. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 3 of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted, meaning the stock's market sensitivity is at parity with the market but the rating flags weak alignment with the current regime. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 8 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Taken together, the rating frames the stock as a high-risk, low-conviction setup. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E, Forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data, so upside cannot be grounded in earnings-based multiples from this dataset.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$27.2M	$-69.4M	$-74.9M	N/A	$-66.7M	$123.9M	N/A
FY 2024	$33.7M	$-63.1M	$-53.2M	N/A	$-81.0M	$76.1M	N/A
FY 2023	$17.7M	$-30.8M	$-30.7M	N/A	$-17.0M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each period shown, with FY 2025 operating income at $-69.4M and net income at $-74.9M. Per the Snapshot data, gross margin is 0.3%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -60%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Cash is reported at $123.9M for FY 2025, up from $76.1M in FY 2024, while debt is not available in source data; the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 is cited in the RQD rating.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data beyond the sector classification of Materials and industry of Precious Metals.

Open Questions

What are the P/E, Forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS (TTM) values, given that the source data lists them as unavailable?
What is the debt balance behind the reported Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, since debt is listed as N/A in every reported period?
What drove the FY 2025 revenue decline from $33.7M to $27.2M, and what is the company's operating and revenue outlook?
What is the cash burn trajectory, and how does the $123.9M cash position compare with the $-66.7M FY 2025 free cash flow?
Which supply-chain, institutional, and insider signals, if any, exist beyond those reflected in the RQD pillar scores?

URG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ur Energy Inc (Canada) (URG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to URG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 7h ago

Ur-Energy Announces Retirement of CFO Roger Smith, Names VP Finance Jade Walle as Successor

Walle Brings Capital Market Expertise and Extensive Audit Partner Experience to Ur-EnergyCASPER, WY / ACCESS Newswire / November 2, 2026 / (NYSE American:URG)(TSX:URE) ("Ur-Energy" or the "Company"), America's largest an

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 4d ago

Uranium Stocks’ Relief Rally Faces an Earnings-Season Reality Check

Uranium stocks have bounced, but upcoming earnings will test whether the rebound can survive weak growth, profitability and balance-sheet risks.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

Ur-Energy Announces 120-Hole Drill Program to Unlock Growth Potential at Lost Creek South, Wyoming

Program to focus on near-mine expansion and high-priority regional targets as part of multi-asset growth strategyCASPER, WY / ACCESS Newswire / October 29, 2026 / (NYSE American:URG)(TSX:URE) ("Ur-Energy" or the "Company

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

Top nuclear stocks to watch amid sector pullback, says B Riley

Investing.com -- Nuclear and uranium stocks have declined an average of 43% since the Russell 2000's peak on August 14, compared to the broader index's 8% decline, according to a recent note from B Riley Securities analy

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 5d ago

B. Riley Securities Maintains Buy on Ur-Energy, Lowers Price Target to $2

B. Riley Securities analyst Nick Giles maintains Ur-Energy (AMEX:URG) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $2.5 to $2.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 30d ago

Ur-Energy Targets 2M-Pound Uranium Output as Wyoming Expansion Gains Momentum

Ur Energy (NYSEAMERICAN:URG) President and CEO Matt Gili outlined the uranium producer’s expansion plans in Wyoming, emphasizing the company’s in-situ recovery, or ISR, operations at Lost Creek and Shirley Basin and its

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 74d ago

From Yellowcake to Commercial Scale: Can Ur-Energy (URG) Live Up to Its Uranium Hype?

On August 11, Ur-Energy (NYSEAMERICAN:URG) held its second quarter 2026 earnings call, and the numbers behind it show a uranium producer moving from promise to production. The company drummed more yellowcake in the quart

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 76d ago

Ur-Energy (URG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Uranium producer ramps production with Shirley Basin now online.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

URG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.85?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON URG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.79 (-12.2%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is URG (E • RQD 26/100) a Buy at $0.90?

Welcome to the URG (Ur Energy Inc (Canada)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 26/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.69 (-23.3%)

Spot @ $0.90

Pump the brakes on URG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on URG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 0.3% gross margins. Unless Ur Energy Inc (Canada) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.09 (+21.1%)

Spot @ $0.90

URG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on URG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.90 (52-wk range $0.79 - $2.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.