Union Bankshares Inc. (UNB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.7% Move

$22.83 -1.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.71

Union Bankshares Inc. (UNB) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $116.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UNB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Union Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: UNB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $22.83 (-1.89% 1D, market cap $116.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UNB ranks #296 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UNB compare to OPHC and BOTJ in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UNB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, OPHC (OptimumBank Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $115.1M) and BOTJ (Bank of the James Financial Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 11.9x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $107.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPHC leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while UNB leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UNB?
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Per UNB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000706863), Union Bankshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $11.1M in net income, and $16.0M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.71 (-0.53%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 0.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$28 Bull$24 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE UNB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UNB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UNB SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.4% FCF Margin ($16.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$22.90+0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$23.00+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$23.04-0.9% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$22.83+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UNB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, UNB faces multiple-compression risk if 10.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.39) or 200D SMA ($23.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.55) toward Bear Floor ($18.37).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UNB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UNB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.7% Swing Band

±$0.84 Expected Swing
$21.99 (-3.7%)Spot $22.83$23.67 (+3.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

UNB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $2.24 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$11.1M$16.0M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$8.8M$11.1M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$11.3M$9.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating UNB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on UNB
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
UNB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.53%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $23.35H $23.35L $22.83C $22.83VOL 1.7K
RES: $22.80SUP: $22.70SMA50: $23.39SMA200: $23.96
$26.67$25.60$24.54$23.48$22.42RES $22.80SUP $22.70$22.832026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UNB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UNB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UNB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UNB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UNB)

Financials Rank #296 of 1096 ⚔️ OPHC vs UNB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (UNB vs. OPHC, BOTJ, PNBK, FUSB)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Union Bankshares Inc. (UNB) ranks #296 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #946 by equity capitalization ($116.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPHC leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while UNB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.7% ROIC and — gross margin. OPHC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with UNB at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
UNB ACTIVE
Union Bankshares Inc.
C 65/100 10.5x — 13.7% -1.89% $116.9M Benchmark Subject
OPHC
OptimumBank Holdings Inc.
C+ 69/100 6.9x — 13.7% +0.33% $115.1M /ophc-vs-unb →
BOTJ
Bank of the James Financial Group Inc.
C- 59/100 11.9x — 11.3% +0.38% $107.5M /botj-vs-unb →
PNBK
Patriot National Bancorp Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -13.4% -1.31% $100.2M /pnbk-vs-unb →
FUSB
First US Bancshares Inc.
C+ 66/100 15.3x — 5.7% -0.66% $91.4M /fusb-vs-unb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000706863

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Union Bankshares Inc. (UNB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $11.1M, operating cash flow of $17.2M, and free cash flow of $16.0M (+44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, UNB closed FY2025 with $1.62B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $11.1M $17.2M $16.0M $1.62B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $8.8M $12.2M $11.1M $1.53B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $11.3M $9.2M $9.2M — —

3. UNB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UNB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Union Bankshares Inc. (NASDAQ: UNB) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $22.83 (-1.89% 1D, market cap $116.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, UNB ranks #296 in composite RQD confidence.

How does UNB compare to OPHC and BOTJ in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), UNB carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.7%. By comparison, OPHC (OptimumBank Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 6.9x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $115.1M) and BOTJ (Bank of the James Financial Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 11.9x, ROIC 11.3%, cap $107.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPHC leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while UNB leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UNB?

Per UNB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000706863), Union Bankshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $11.1M in net income, and $16.0M in free cash flow against $1.62B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is UNB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UNB last traded at $22.83 (-1.89% on volume of 1,659 shares), positioning the stock -2.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.39) and -4.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.96). Across its 52-week range of $20.65 to $26.41, UNB sits at the 37.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($21.99 to $23.67).

UNB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is UNB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Union Bankshares Inc. (UNB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is UNB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.7% event move for UNB, spanning a range between $21.99 and $23.67.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

UNB — Union Bankshares Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, UNB scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an ROIC of 13.7% and an FCF yield of 13.67%. For a prospective investor, these are the strongest cash-generation signals in the rating, suggesting the business converts capital into returns at a rate the rating treats as favorable.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates limited institutional tailwind; an investor should not assume large-holder conviction is supporting the stock.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the highest-scoring pillar, pointing to insider-related activity the rating views as constructive, though the underlying trade detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The moderate score implies the stock moves roughly in line with the market and is not a defensive or high-volatility outlier.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These are middling readings: the Z-Score and F-Score do not signal distress or strength decisively.

Taken together, the pillars show a stock with solid cash-return metrics and strong insider-flow signals, offset by weak institutional flow and only moderate balance-sheet and macro readings. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 10.5 and a forward P/E of 9.8, with a dividend yield of 5.61%. Valuation tradeoffs, the sensitivity of a small-cap regional bank to sector conditions, and the limited institutional support are the central considerations. Upside depends on the cash-return and insider signals persisting; downside risk is tied to the weaker institutional and macro readings. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Union Bankshares Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Major Banks industry, per the profile. Per the market data, its market capitalization is $116.9M. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond this classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$11.1MN/A$16.0MN/AN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$8.8MN/A$11.1MN/AN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$11.3MN/A$9.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income was $11.1M for FY 2025, $8.8M for FY 2024, and $11.3M for FY 2023, with free cash flow of $16.0M, $11.1M, and $9.2M respectively. Revenue and operating income are reported as $0.0M and cash and debt as N/A, so margin analysis is not available in source data. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, which the source does not explain and which should not be read as a precise margin figure. Per the market data, ROIC is 13.7%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, placing the balance sheet in the middle of the rating's range, with Debt/Equity of 0.5.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items are:

  • "Union Bankshares (UNB) Stock Shrugs Off Q3 Earnings As Reserve Risk Lingers" (Yahoo Finance), flagged RED / RISK WATCH. The headline points to reserve risk as an ongoing concern.
  • "Recent Results From Union Bankshares Support Neutral Rating" (Seeking Alpha), flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE.
  • "Union Bankshares, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:UNB" (TradingView), flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE.
  • "A 36-cent dividend is due Nov. 5 to Union Bankshares shareholders." (Stock Titan), flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE. This is the only dated catalyst in the feed.
  • "Union Bankshares: Q3 Earnings Snapshot" (Yahoo Finance), flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE.
  • "Union Bankshares Q3 Net Income Rises to $3.8 Million" (Quiver Quantitative), flagged YELLOW / MARKET WIRE. This is the only quantified Q3 figure in the feed.

Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The news flow is mixed: one RED risk-watch item on reserve risk, a Q3 net income increase to $3.8 million, and a dividend payment date of Nov. 5 for a 36-cent dividend.

Open Questions

  • What is the nature of the reserve risk flagged in the RED-rated news item, and how large is it relative to earnings?
  • What are the underlying SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR trades behind the insider-conviction score of 17 / 20?
  • Why are revenue, operating income, EPS, cash, and debt reported as $0.0M or N/A in the financials, and what are the true figures?
  • What explains the 0% gross, operating, and net margins reported in the market data?
  • What is the institutional holder base, given the 7 / 20 whale 13F flow pillar and the absence of holder data?

UNB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Union Bankshares Inc. (UNB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UNB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UNB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UNB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on UNB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $24.66 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UNB (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $22.83?

Welcome to the UNB (Union Bankshares Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Major Banks. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.26 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $22.83

Pump the brakes on UNB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UNB, but look at what you are paying: 10.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Union Bankshares Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.22 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $22.83

UNB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UNB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $22.83 (52-wk range $20.65 - $26.41), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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