Tri Continental Corporation (TY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$34.59 -0.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.52

Tri Continental Corporation (TY) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.88B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.52 (-0.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$40 Bull$34 Base$26 Bear
📬 FREE TY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TY SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.3% FCF Margin ($52.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$34.78-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$34.60-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$34.49+0.3% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$34.59-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TY currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.79) and Max Pain ($36.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $39.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $34.59: 289.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $26.13
$7,554
$-2,446 (-24.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $33.50
$9,685
$-315 (-3.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $39.53
$11,428
+$1,428 (+14.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3574%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$3058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $34.53H $34.80L $34.30C $34.59VOL 24.2K
RES: $37.25SUP: $33.85SMA50: $34.79SMA200: $34.17
$36.82$35.71$34.59$33.48$32.36RES $37.25SUP $33.85$34.592026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TY)

Financials Rank #787 of 1096 ⚔️ BDJ vs TY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TY vs. BDJ, ECPG, AGM, QQQX)

Industry: Finance Companies (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tri Continental Corporation (TY) ranks #787 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #437 by equity capitalization ($1.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ECPG leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while ECPG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 60.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ECPG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with TY at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TY ACTIVE
Tri Continental Corporation
D 51/100 — — — -0.06% $1.88B Benchmark Subject
BDJ
Blackrock Enhanced Equity Dividend Trust
D+ 54/100 — — — +1.25% $1.72B /bdj-vs-ty →
ECPG
Encore Capital Group Inc
B 73/100 8.4x — 60.4% +0.73% $2.17B /ecpg-vs-ty →
AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
D+ 56/100 10.7x — 12.1% -0.09% $2.21B /agm-vs-ty →
QQQX
Nuveen NASDAQ 100 Dynamic Overwrite Fund
D+ 57/100 — — — -0.39% $1.51B /qqqx-vs-ty →

2. TY Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Tri Continental Corporation (TY) operates in Finance Companies (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $1.88B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tri Continental Corporation (NYSE: TY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $34.59 (-0.06% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TY ranks #787 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TY compare to BDJ and ECPG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance Companies), TY carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BDJ (Blackrock Enhanced Equity Dividend Trust) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.72B) and ECPG (Encore Capital Group Inc) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 60.4%, cap $2.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ECPG leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while ECPG leads on capital efficiency (60.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TY?

For Tri Continental Corporation (TY), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #787 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TY last traded at $34.59 (-0.06% on volume of 26,083 shares), positioning the stock -0.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.79) and +1.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.17). Across its 52-week range of $30.53 to $36.55, TY sits at the 67.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.7% ($33.66 to $35.52).

TY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TY's 12-month stock price target?

Tri Continental Corporation (TY) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $33.5 (-3.2% from $34.59), with a bull-case target of $39.53 and a bear-case floor of $26.13.

Is TY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TY D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 51/100.

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