Stock Ratings / Materials / TX / insiders

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Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$54.06 +0.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.98

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.61B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.98 (-0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TX SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 75% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$58.18-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$57.10-2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$55.96-3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$54.06+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, TX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($56.39) or 200D SMA ($47.61) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.55) toward Bear Floor ($42.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TX Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $53.00H $54.06L $52.02C $54.06VOL 374.1K

RES: $60.59SUP: $40.53SMA50: $56.39SMA200: $47.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TX Butterfly Map → + Track TX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TX)

Materials Rank #57 of 270 ⚔️ GGB vs TX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TX vs. GGB, CRS, CMC, PKX)

Industry: Steel/Iron Ore (26 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) ranks #57 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #42 by equity capitalization ($10.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GGB leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while CRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 26.7% gross margin. CRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with TX at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TX ACTIVE Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value)	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+0.26%	$10.61B	Benchmark Subject
GGB Gerdau S.A.	C-	60/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+5.10%	$9.38B	/ggb-vs-tx →
CRS Carpenter Technology Corporation	C	62/100	39.4x	26.7%	16.9%	+6.69%	$14.80B	/crs-vs-tx →
CMC Commercial Metals Company	D	48/100	85.3x	—	1.5%	+2.40%	$7.23B	/cmc-vs-tx →
PKX POSCO HOLDINGS INC. (Each representing 1/4th of a share of )	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-2.36%	$16.48B	/pkx-vs-tx →

2. TX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX) operates in Steel/Iron Ore (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $10.61B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (NYSE: TX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $54.06 (+0.26% 1D, market cap $10.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TX ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TX compare to GGB and CRS in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Steel/Iron Ore), TX carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GGB (Gerdau S.A.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.38B) and CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporation) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 16.9%, cap $14.80B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GGB leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while CRS leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TX?

For Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (each representing ten shares USD1.00 par value) (TX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #57 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TX last traded at $54.06 (+0.26% on volume of 366,090 shares), positioning the stock -4.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($56.39) and +13.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($47.61). Across its 52-week range of $35.12 to $60.21, TX sits at the 75.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($50.28 to $57.84).

TX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are TX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TX leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: TX RQD Cockpit TX 12M Forecast TX Earnings & Move TX Dividends & DRIP TX Insiders & 13F TX Whale Options TX Profit Sankey TX News & Why