Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$403.30 -0.23% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.58T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (11)Macro (14)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+14.3% Base Target
$500 Bull$461 Base$417 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($55.2M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $350.00
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TSLA Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 3 ($715.4M)▼ Disclosed Sales: 13 ($396.0M)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TSLA)

Filer / TitleCategorySideShares$ ValueFiled
The Vanguard Group, Inc.13F-HR Index & Active Institutional Complex // CIK 0000102909HEDGE_FUNDBUY658,407$245.0M2026-10-11
BlackRock, Inc.13F-HR Global Institutional Asset Manager // CIK 0001364742HEDGE_FUNDBUY521,591$190.0M2026-10-03
Taneja VaibhavSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL2,606$938.5K2026-09-09
Citadel Advisors (Ken Griffin)13F-HR Multi-Strategy Institutional Manager // CIK 0001423053HEDGE_FUNDSELL780,000$306.9M2026-07-22
Taneja VaibhavSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL2,606$1.0M2026-06-09
Taneja VaibhavSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL3,000$1.4M2026-05-15
Wilson-Thompson KathleenSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL26,409$10.0M2026-05-04
Sen. Tommy TubervilleU.S. Senate Armed Services Committee (AL) // STOCK Act PTRPOLITICIANSELL1,500$542.7K2026-04-16
Rep. Nancy PelosiU.S. House Representative (CA-11) // STOCK Act PTRPOLITICIANSELL2,500$919.9K2026-04-06
Wilson-Thompson KathleenSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL25,809$9.3M2026-04-01
Taneja VaibhavSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL2,265$899.3K2026-03-09
Wilson-Thompson KathleenSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL25,731$10.7M2026-02-27
Renaissance Technologies13F-HR Medallion Quantitative Manager // CIK 0001037389HEDGE_FUNDBUY640,000$280.4M2026-01-19
Murdoch James RSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL60,000$26.7M2026-01-06
Musk KimbalSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / DirectorINSIDERSELL56,820$25.6M2025-12-11
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading TSLA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on TSLA this week
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TSLA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.30%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $383.8H $410.9L $383.7C $399.8VOL 198.52M
RES: $383.0SUP: $367.4SMA50: $369.6SMA200: $385.3
$464.3$419.1$373.8$328.6$283.3RES $383.0SUP $367.4$399.82026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TSLA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
+ 0.86% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Disciplined near-zero share dilution.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TSLA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
ON → TSLA Confirmed Filing
ON Semiconductor supplies EliteSiC silicon-carbide power semiconductors and high-resolution CMOS automotive image sensors enabling 400V/800V EV drivetrain efficiency and vision-based ADAS.
TSLA → GM Confirmed Filing
General Motors integrated its EV lineup onto Tesla North American Charging Standard (NACS / Supercharger network), turning Tesla charging infrastructure and zero-emission regulatory credits into high-margin OEM monetization.
TSLA → RIVN Analyst Hypothesis
Tesla manufacturing scale and aggressive financing promotions establish a hard price ceiling across US premium EVs, squeezing unit gross margins at sub-scale manufacturer Rivian ahead of R2 launch.

TSLA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are TSLA insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TSLA leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.