Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Next Earnings Date & Options-Implied ±8.7% Move

$403.30 -0.23% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.58T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (11)Macro (14)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+14.3% Base Target
$500 Bull$461 Base$417 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($55.2M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $350.00
NEXT EST. REPORT: Jan 21, 2027 (~81 DAYS)

Options-Implied Post-Earnings ±8.7% Bell Curve

±$35.09 Expected Swing
$368.21 (-8.7%)Spot $403.30$438.39 (+8.7%)
TRADER CROWD SENTIMENT POLL

Will TSLA Beat & Rip or Miss Next Quarter?

Trailing EPS: $0.91 • YoY Revenue Growth: 8.3%

52% Bullish Beat48% Bearish Miss

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
Q3 20262026-10-22$28.05B$787.0M$1.53B19.6%
Q2 20262026-07-23$28.24B$1.11B-$1.09B16.8%
Q1 20262026-04-23$22.39B$477.0M$1.44B21.1%
Q4 20252026-01-29$24.90B$840.0M$1.42B20.1%
Q3 20252026-10-22$28.09B$1.37B$3.99B18%
Q2 20252026-07-23$22.50B$1.17B$146.0M17.2%
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TSLA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.30%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $383.8H $410.9L $383.7C $399.8VOL 198.52M
RES: $383.0SUP: $367.4SMA50: $369.6SMA200: $385.3
$464.3$419.1$373.8$328.6$283.3RES $383.0SUP $367.4$399.82026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TSLA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
+ 0.86% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Disciplined near-zero share dilution.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TSLA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
ON → TSLA Confirmed Filing
ON Semiconductor supplies EliteSiC silicon-carbide power semiconductors and high-resolution CMOS automotive image sensors enabling 400V/800V EV drivetrain efficiency and vision-based ADAS.
TSLA → GM Confirmed Filing
General Motors integrated its EV lineup onto Tesla North American Charging Standard (NACS / Supercharger network), turning Tesla charging infrastructure and zero-emission regulatory credits into high-margin OEM monetization.
TSLA → RIVN Analyst Hypothesis
Tesla manufacturing scale and aggressive financing promotions establish a hard price ceiling across US premium EVs, squeezing unit gross margins at sub-scale manufacturer Rivian ahead of R2 launch.

TSLA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TSLA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)'s next quarterly earnings window is estimated around Jan 21, 2027.

How much is TSLA stock expected to move on earnings?

Options markets currently imply a ±8.7% post-earnings move for TSLA, projecting a trading range between $368.21 and $438.39.