Stock Ratings / Materials / TRX / insiders

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TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.02 -2.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $334.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.01 (-0.70%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TRX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($9.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$1.17-10.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$1.05-6.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$0.98+4.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.02-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.15) and Max Pain ($1.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TRX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

TRX Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (TRX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on TRX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRX)

✓Walkthrough of TRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $0.99H $1.02L $0.91C $1.02VOL 2.12M

RES: $1.55SUP: $0.91SMA50: $1.15SMA200: $1.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRX Butterfly Map → + Track TRX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRX)

Materials Rank #166 of 270 ⚔️ VOXR vs TRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TRX vs. VOXR, IDR, URG, VGZ)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #194 by equity capitalization ($334.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TRX at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TRX ACTIVE TRX Gold Corporation	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.86%	$334.0M	Benchmark Subject
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.61%	$337.1M	/voxr-vs-trx →
IDR Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.	C+	66/100	19.6x	61.8%	11.4%	-1.66%	$327.1M	/idr-vs-trx →
URG Ur Energy Inc (Canada)	D-	42/100	—	0.3%	-35.0%	-2.38%	$356.6M	/urg-vs-trx →
VGZ Vista Gold Corp	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.44%	$376.6M	/vgz-vs-trx →

2. TRX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $334.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TRX Gold Corporation (NYSE: TRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (-2.86% 1D, market cap $334.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TRX ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRX compare to VOXR and IDR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TRX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $337.1M) and IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $327.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRX?

For TRX Gold Corporation (TRX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #166 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRX last traded at $1.02 (-2.86% on volume of 638,118 shares), positioning the stock -11.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.15) and -16.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.22). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $2.80, TRX sits at the 21.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($1.00 to $1.14).

TRX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are TRX insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies TRX leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: TRX RQD Cockpit TRX 12M Forecast TRX Earnings & Move TRX Dividends & DRIP TRX Insiders & 13F TRX Whale Options TRX Profit Sankey TRX News & Why