TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.02 -2.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $334.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.9% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TRX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TRX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.02: 9803.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.76
$7,451
$-2,549 (-25.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.98
$9,608
$-392 (-3.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.94
$28,824
+$18,824 (+188.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TRX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $0.99H $1.02L $0.91C $1.02VOL 2.12M
RES: $1.55SUP: $0.91SMA50: $1.15SMA200: $1.22
$1.59$1.34$1.10$0.85$0.60RES $1.55SUP $0.91$1.022026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRX)

Materials Rank #166 of 270 ⚔️ VOXR vs TRX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TRX vs. VOXR, IDR, URG, VGZ)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #194 by equity capitalization ($334.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TRX at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRX ACTIVE
TRX Gold Corporation
D 50/100 — — — -2.86% $334.0M Benchmark Subject
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp.
D 50/100 — — — -2.61% $337.1M /voxr-vs-trx →
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.
C+ 66/100 19.6x 61.8% 11.4% -1.66% $327.1M /idr-vs-trx →
URG
Ur Energy Inc (Canada)
D- 42/100 — 0.3% -35.0% -2.38% $356.6M /urg-vs-trx →
VGZ
Vista Gold Corp
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -4.44% $376.6M /vgz-vs-trx →

2. TRX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $334.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TRX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TRX Gold Corporation (NYSE: TRX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (-2.86% 1D, market cap $334.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TRX ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRX compare to VOXR and IDR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TRX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VOXR (Vox Royalty Corp.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $337.1M) and IDR (Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $327.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRX?

For TRX Gold Corporation (TRX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #166 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRX last traded at $1.02 (-2.86% on volume of 638,118 shares), positioning the stock -11.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.15) and -16.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.22). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $2.80, TRX sits at the 21.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($1.00 to $1.14).

TRX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TRX's 12-month stock price target?

TRX Gold Corporation (TRX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $0.98 (-3.9% from $1.02), with a bull-case target of $2.94 and a bear-case floor of $0.76.

Is TRX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TRX D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 50/100.

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