Why TRNR Stock slipped -1.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.60 -1.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59

Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59 (-0.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.8% Base Target
$216 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TRNR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRNR SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$2.09-18.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$1.71+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$1.73-7.5% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$1.60-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRNR currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.43) and Max Pain ($1.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $216.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRNR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRNR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TRNR Stock slipped -1.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) slipped -1.84% to $1.60, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.37 – $205.94). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.37 – $205.94) with RSI-14 at 25.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 7.9% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TRNR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
TRNR Shares Q3 Commercial Update Across Its Premium Portfolio

This progress is often announced by partners and independent publications, or at the brand or customer level, and demonstrates how active and productive TRNR's portfolio companies have been in recent months.Trent Ward, C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRNR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TRNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -79.59%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.60H $1.62L $1.53C $1.60VOL 5.5K
RES: $3.27SUP: $1.22SMA50: $2.43SMA200: $9.16
$154.2$112.8$71.34$29.93$-11.48RES $3.27SUP $1.22$1.602026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +114.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRNR)

Technology Rank #566 of 714 ⚔️ FXHO vs TRNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRNR vs. FXHO, OTIS, EMR, GEV)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Appliances (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) ranks #566 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #694 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTIS leads on earnings valuation at 20.5x trailing P/E, while OTIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 74.2% ROIC and — gross margin. EMR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with TRNR at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRNR ACTIVE
Interactive Strength Inc.
D- 39/100 — 7.9% -35.0% -1.84% $2.6M Benchmark Subject
FXHO
UTime Limited (Class A)
E 31/100 — 1.0% — -3.67% $193.1M /fxho-vs-trnr →
OTIS
Otis Worldwide Corporation
C 65/100 20.5x — 74.2% +2.39% $28.40B /otis-vs-trnr →
EMR
Emerson Electric Company
C+ 69/100 41.5x 52.8% 9.7% +1.81% $95.24B /emr-vs-trnr →
GEV
GE Vernova Inc.
D 49/100 48.1x 19.8% 4.4% +1.12% $234.99B /gev-vs-trnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001785056

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) reported GAAP revenue of $11.5M (+114.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.4M , and +1098.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$23.70B, operating cash flow of -$10.4M, and free cash flow of -$10.5M (+29.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRNR closed FY2025 with $46.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $11.5M -$23.70B -$10.4M -$10.5M $46.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.4M -$34.93B -$14.8M -$14.8M $34.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $962.0K -$51.37B -$15.4M -$15.4M — —

3. TRNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Interactive Strength Inc. (NASDAQ: TRNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (-1.84% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRNR ranks #566 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRNR compare to FXHO and OTIS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), TRNR carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FXHO (UTime Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $193.1M) and OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.5x, ROIC 74.2%, cap $28.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTIS leads on earnings multiple (20.5x) while OTIS leads on capital efficiency (74.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRNR?

Per TRNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785056), Interactive Strength Inc. generated $11.5M in revenue (+114.3% YoY), -$23.70B in net income, and -$10.5M in free cash flow against $46.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRNR last traded at $1.60 (-1.84% on volume of 1,550 shares), positioning the stock -34.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.43) and -82.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.16). Across its 52-week range of $1.37 to $205.94, TRNR sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.40 to $1.80).

TRNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TRNR stock moving today?

Why TRNR Stock slipped -1.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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