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Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell TRNR stock right now?

Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is TRNR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TRNR's 12-month base price target is $1.46 (range $1.14 to $216.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.60 -1.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59

Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59 (-0.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRNR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TRNR SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.09-18.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.71+1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.73-7.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.60-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRNR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRNR currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.43) and Max Pain ($1.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $216.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRNR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TRNR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

25.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.60H: $206

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on TRNR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with 7.9% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TRNR

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRNR)

✓Walkthrough of TRNR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TRNR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -79.59%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.60H $1.62L $1.53C $1.60VOL 5.5K

RES: $3.27SUP: $1.22SMA50: $2.43SMA200: $9.16

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRNR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRNR Butterfly Map → + Track TRNR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +114.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRNR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRNR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRNR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRNR)

Technology Rank #566 of 714 ⚔️ FXHO vs TRNR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRNR vs. FXHO, OTIS, EMR, GEV)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Appliances (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) ranks #566 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #694 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTIS leads on earnings valuation at 20.5x trailing P/E, while OTIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 74.2% ROIC and — gross margin. EMR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with TRNR at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TRNR ACTIVE Interactive Strength Inc.	D-	39/100	—	7.9%	-35.0%	-1.84%	$2.6M	Benchmark Subject
FXHO UTime Limited (Class A)	E	31/100	—	1.0%	—	-3.67%	$193.1M	/fxho-vs-trnr →
OTIS Otis Worldwide Corporation	C	65/100	20.5x	—	74.2%	+2.39%	$28.40B	/otis-vs-trnr →
EMR Emerson Electric Company	C+	69/100	41.5x	52.8%	9.7%	+1.81%	$95.24B	/emr-vs-trnr →
GEV GE Vernova Inc.	D	49/100	48.1x	19.8%	4.4%	+1.12%	$234.99B	/gev-vs-trnr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001785056

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) reported GAAP revenue of $11.5M (+114.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.4M , and +1098.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$23.70B, operating cash flow of -$10.4M, and free cash flow of -$10.5M (+29.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRNR closed FY2025 with $46.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$11.5M	-$23.70B	-$10.4M	-$10.5M	$46.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$5.4M	-$34.93B	-$14.8M	-$14.8M	$34.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$962.0K	-$51.37B	-$15.4M	-$15.4M	—	—

3. TRNR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRNR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Interactive Strength Inc. (NASDAQ: TRNR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (-1.84% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRNR ranks #566 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRNR compare to FXHO and OTIS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), TRNR carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, FXHO (UTime Limited (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $193.1M) and OTIS (Otis Worldwide Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 20.5x, ROIC 74.2%, cap $28.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTIS leads on earnings multiple (20.5x) while OTIS leads on capital efficiency (74.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRNR?

Per TRNR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785056), Interactive Strength Inc. generated $11.5M in revenue (+114.3% YoY), -$23.70B in net income, and -$10.5M in free cash flow against $46.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRNR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRNR last traded at $1.60 (-1.84% on volume of 1,550 shares), positioning the stock -34.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.43) and -82.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.16). Across its 52-week range of $1.37 to $205.94, TRNR sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.40 to $1.80).

TRNR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TRNR stock right now?

Interactive Strength Inc. (TRNR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TRNR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TRNR's 12-month base price target is $1.46 (range $1.14 to $216.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TRNR RQD Cockpit TRNR 12M Forecast TRNR Earnings & Move TRNR Dividends & DRIP TRNR Insiders & 13F TRNR Whale Options TRNR Profit Sankey TRNR News & Why