MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why TRIN Stock advanced +0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$17.24 +0.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.23
Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $1.63B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.23 (-0.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRIN SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 65% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$17.10-5.9% Next Q
32
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$16.09+1.6% Next Q
35
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$16.34+5.5% Next Q
37
CurrentGrade D-$17.24-7.4% Hist 90D α
40
Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRIN Turnaround Squeeze
While TRIN currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.51) and Max Pain ($18.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.84.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TRIN Stock advanced +0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) advanced +0.88% to $17.24, trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($14.13 – $18.9). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 65% of its 52-week range ($14.13 – $18.9) with RSI-14 at 50.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.3% around $17.24 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TRIN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRIN)
- ✓Walkthrough of TRIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.79%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $17.20H $17.24L $16.85C $17.24VOL 744.0K
RES: $19.75SUP: $15.65SMA50: $17.51SMA200: $16.70
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TRIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRIN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRIN)
Financials Rank #981 of 1096
⚔️ WLTH vs TRIN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRIN vs. WLTH, PGY, ATLC, HAPN)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) ranks #981 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #469 by equity capitalization ($1.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATLC leads on earnings valuation at 12.3x trailing P/E, while PGY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PGY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with TRIN at 40/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRIN
ACTIVE
Trinity Capital Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | — | +0.88% | $1.63B | Benchmark Subject |
| WLTH Wealthfront Corporation | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | -6.8% | +1.54% | $1.65B | /wlth-vs-trin → |
| PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A) | B+ | 79/100 | 21.3x | — | 85.0% | +1.66% | $1.74B | /pgy-vs-trin → |
| ATLC Atlanticus Holdings Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | 12.3x | — | 19.8% | +7.10% | $1.49B | /atlc-vs-trin → |
| HAPN Happen Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 13.6x | — | 9.0% | +11.86% | $1.85B | /hapn-vs-trin → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001786108In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$535.5M, and free cash flow of -$535.5M (-69.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRIN closed FY2025 with $2.48B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | -$535.5M | -$535.5M | $2.48B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $0 | -$316.9M | -$316.9M | $1.77B | — |
3. TRIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TRIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Trinity Capital Inc. (NYSE: TRIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $17.24 (+0.88% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRIN ranks #981 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TRIN compare to WLTH and PGY in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRIN carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WLTH (Wealthfront Corporation) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $1.65B) and PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATLC leads on earnings multiple (12.3x) while PGY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIN?
Per TRIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786108), Trinity Capital Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$535.5M in free cash flow against $2.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TRIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TRIN last traded at $17.24 (+0.88% on volume of 833,347 shares), positioning the stock -1.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.51) and +3.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.70). Across its 52-week range of $14.13 to $18.90, TRIN sits at the 65.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($16.50 to $17.98).
TRIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TRIN stock moving today?
Why TRIN Stock advanced +0.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.