Stock Ratings / Materials / TREO / forecast

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Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.90 -4.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.88

Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $25.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.88 (-0.92%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TREO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TREO SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$2.45-23.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.88-19.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.51+25.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.90-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TREO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TREO currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.48) and Max Pain ($1.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TREO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TREO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TREO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.90: 5263.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.39

$7,316

$-2,684 (-26.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.78

$9,368

$-632 (-6.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.66

$50,842

+$40,842 (+408.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$9	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TREO)

✓Walkthrough of TREO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TREO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -73.50%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $1.80H $1.93L $1.76C $1.90VOL 17.9K

RES: $1.69SUP: $0.76SMA50: $3.48SMA200: $3.55

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TREO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TREO Butterfly Map → + Track TREO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TREO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TREO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TREO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TREO)

Materials Rank #202 of 270 ⚔️ COPR vs TREO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TREO vs. COPR, JAGU, NEXM, WWR)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) ranks #202 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #252 by equity capitalization ($25.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TREO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while WWR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.1% ROIC and — gross margin. NEXM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with TREO at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TREO ACTIVE Tactical Resources Corp.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-4.04%	$25.9M	Benchmark Subject
COPR Idaho Copper Corporation	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-10.71%	$32.9M	/copr-vs-treo →
JAGU Jaguar Uranium Corp. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	-7.20%	$19.3M	/jagu-vs-treo →
NEXM NexMetals Mining Corp.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-7.84%	$50.3M	/nexm-vs-treo →
WWR Westwater Resources Inc.	D-	41/100	—	—	-15.1%	-1.64%	$54.0M	/wwr-vs-treo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-31 • CIK 0002041208

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31), Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of -$4.7M, operating cash flow of -$305.6K, and free cash flow of -$305.6K . On the balance sheet, TREO closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-07-31	$0	-$4.7M	-$305.6K	-$305.6K	—	—

3. TREO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TREO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tactical Resources Corp. (NASDAQ: TREO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.90 (-4.04% 1D, market cap $25.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, TREO ranks #202 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TREO compare to COPR and JAGU in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), TREO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, COPR (Idaho Copper Corporation) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $32.9M) and JAGU (Jaguar Uranium Corp. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TREO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WWR leads on capital efficiency (-15.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TREO?

Per TREO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-31, CIK 0002041208), Tactical Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$4.7M in net income, and -$305.6K in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TREO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TREO last traded at $1.90 (-4.04% on volume of 91,366 shares), positioning the stock -45.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.48) and -46.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.55). Across its 52-week range of $1.40 to $9.20, TREO sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.66 to $2.14).

TREO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TREO's 12-month stock price target?

Tactical Resources Corp. (TREO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.78 (-6.3% from $1.90), with a bull-case target of $9.66 and a bear-case floor of $1.39.

Is TREO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TREO D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 44/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TREO RQD Cockpit TREO 12M Forecast TREO Earnings & Move TREO Dividends & DRIP TREO Insiders & 13F TREO Whale Options TREO Profit Sankey TREO News & Why