Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TOYO / options

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TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$4.53 -3.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.49

TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $200.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TOYO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TOYO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, TOYO Co. Ltd (NASDAQ: TOYO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $4.53 (-3.62% 1D, market cap $200.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TOYO ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TOYO compare to DAKT and ODC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Miscellaneous manufacturing industries), TOYO carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.1x, gross margin of 22.5%, and ROIC of 41.9%. By comparison, DAKT (Daktronics Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 21.0x, ROIC 30.2%, cap $951.3M) and ODC (Oil-Dri Corporation Of America) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 23.9%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOYO leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while TOYO leads on capital efficiency (41.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOYO?

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Per TOYO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001985273), TOYO Co. Ltd generated $427.4M in revenue (+141.5% YoY), $39.7M in net income, and $41.2M in free cash flow against $441.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.49 (-0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 9.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TOYO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TOYO SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.6% FCF Margin ($41.2M FCF) & 22.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$4.31-8.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$3.96-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$3.84+18% Next Q

Current

Grade C$4.53+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TOYO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, TOYO faces multiple-compression risk if 5.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.30) or 200D SMA ($7.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.61) toward Bear Floor ($3.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TOYO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TOYO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TOYO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TOYO.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TOYO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TOYO
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TOYO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $3.82H $4.70L $3.82C $4.53VOL 1.97M

RES: $4.67SUP: $3.68SMA50: $4.30SMA200: $7.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TOYO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TOYO Butterfly Map → + Track TOYO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-13.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +141.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TOYO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TOYO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TOYO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TOYO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #309 of 1011 ⚔️ DAKT vs TOYO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TOYO vs. DAKT, ODC, VTSI, DOGZ)

Industry: Miscellaneous manufacturing industries (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) ranks #309 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #694 by equity capitalization ($200.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOYO leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while TOYO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.9% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. ODC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with TOYO at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TOYO ACTIVE TOYO Co. Ltd	C	62/100	5.1x	22.5%	41.9%	-3.62%	$200.8M	Benchmark Subject
DAKT Daktronics Inc.	C	64/100	21.0x	27.3%	30.2%	-4.65%	$951.3M	/dakt-vs-toyo →
ODC Oil-Dri Corporation Of America	C+	67/100	19.6x	29.5%	23.9%	-2.47%	$1.06B	/odc-vs-toyo →
VTSI VirTra Inc.	D	44/100	117.4x	67.9%	1.3%	-2.61%	$30.3M	/vtsi-vs-toyo →
DOGZ Dogness (International) Corporation (Class A)	E	26/100	—	24.3%	-6.1%	-1.64%	$10.7M	/dogz-vs-toyo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001985273

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TOYO Co. Ltd (TOYO) reported GAAP revenue of $427.4M (+141.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $177.0M , and +585.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $39.7M, operating cash flow of $133.0M, and free cash flow of $41.2M (+929.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TOYO closed FY2025 with $441.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$427.4M	$39.7M	$133.0M	$41.2M	$441.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$177.0M	$40.6M	$46.5M	$4.0M	$239.8M	$21.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$62.4M	$9.9M	-$12.5M	-$12.5M	—	—

3. TOYO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TOYO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TOYO compare to DAKT and ODC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TOYO?

Where is TOYO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TOYO last traded at $4.53 (-3.62% on volume of 793,569 shares), positioning the stock +5.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.30) and -43.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.95). Across its 52-week range of $3.71 to $17.43, TOYO sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($3.97 to $5.09).

TOYO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TOYO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TOYO.

Direct Sub-Reports: TOYO RQD Cockpit TOYO 12M Forecast TOYO Earnings & Move TOYO Dividends & DRIP TOYO Insiders & 13F TOYO Whale Options TOYO Profit Sankey TOYO News & Why