Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TNL / earnings

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Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$71.49 +4.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.31B

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

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Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$4.22 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TNL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 69/100

Trailing EPS: $3.82 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.1%

Model Bullish Setup (69/100)Model Risk Weight (31/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$4.02B	$230.2M	$523.0M	93.2%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$3.86B	$411.0M	$383.0M	97.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$3.75B	$396.4M	$181.3M	92%

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TNL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TNL
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TNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.01%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-01O $68.38H $71.49L $68.38C $71.49VOL 1.10M

RES: $82.14SUP: $57.03SMA50: $65.83SMA200: $70.38

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TNL Butterfly Map → + Track TNL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #111 of 304 ⚔️ PLNT vs TNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TNL vs. PLNT, CHH, BYD, WH)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) ranks #111 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #273 by equity capitalization ($4.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHH leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while TNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.7% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. PLNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with TNL at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TNL ACTIVE Travel Leisure Co.	C+	69/100	18.7x	93.2%	21.7%	+4.55%	$4.31B	Benchmark Subject
PLNT Planet Fitness Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	82.6%	19.1%	+2.07%	$4.04B	/plnt-vs-tnl →
CHH Choice Hotels International Inc.	C-	59/100	13.8x	—	17.3%	+2.68%	$5.10B	/chh-vs-tnl →
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	13.7%	+2.35%	$5.12B	/byd-vs-tnl →
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D+	56/100	29.1x	—	16.2%	+3.47%	$5.61B	/wh-vs-tnl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001361658

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Travel Leisure Co. (TNL) reported GAAP revenue of $4.02B (+4.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.86B , and +7.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $230.2M, operating cash flow of $640.0M, and free cash flow of $523.0M (+36.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TNL closed FY2025 with $6.76B in total assets against $3.48B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.02B	$230.2M	$640.0M	$523.0M	$6.76B	$3.48B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.86B	$411.0M	$464.0M	$383.0M	$6.74B	$3.43B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.75B	$396.4M	$350.0M	$181.3M	$4.50B	$1.05B

3. TNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Travel Leisure Co. (NYSE: TNL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $71.49 (+4.55% 1D, market cap $4.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TNL ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNL compare to PLNT and CHH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), TNL carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.7x, gross margin of 93.2%, and ROIC of 21.7%. By comparison, PLNT (Planet Fitness Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $4.04B) and CHH (Choice Hotels International Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 13.8x, ROIC 17.3%, cap $5.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHH leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while TNL leads on capital efficiency (21.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNL?

Per TNL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001361658), Travel Leisure Co. generated $4.02B in revenue (+4.1% YoY), $230.2M in net income, and $523.0M in free cash flow against $6.76B in total assets and $3.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (93% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNL last traded at $71.49 (+4.55% on volume of 1,101,031 shares), positioning the stock +8.60% above its 50-day simple moving average ($65.83) and +1.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($70.38). Across its 52-week range of $60.34 to $81.00, TNL sits at the 54.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($67.27 to $75.71).

TNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TNL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Travel Leisure Co. (TNL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TNL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.9% event move for TNL, spanning a range between $67.27 and $75.71.

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