Why TNL Stock surged +4.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$71.49 +4.55% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Travel Leisure Co. Common Stock (TNL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.31B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$88 Bull$74 Base$58 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:59% Call Buyers ($2.7M)
41% PutsMax Pain: $70.00
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Why TNL Stock surged +4.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Travel Leisure Co. Common Stock (TNL) surged +4.55% to $71.49 as options desks priced 59% call premium vs. 41% put protection around the $70 max-pain magnet. Solid 93% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 19x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($60.34 – $81) with RSI-14 at 70.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.7M in bullish call flow vs. $1.8M in put flow (Put/Call 0.69x, implied earnings swing ±6.8%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 93.2% gross margin and $523.0M annual free cash flow.
Live TNL Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Hilton Grand Vacations Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) reported third-quarter results that fell short of its prior expectations as contract sales declined 11% and sales-conversion challenges persisted across its Legacy and Bluegreen operatio

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TNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.84%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $71.66H $72.02L $70.74C $71.67VOL 1.15M
RES: $82.10SUP: $57.21SMA50: $65.84SMA200: $70.39
$80.79$75.42$70.05$64.68$59.31RES $82.10SUP $57.21$71.672026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TNL stock moving today?

Why TNL Stock surged +4.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 93% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 19x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.