Telos Corporation (TLS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$5.78 -2.12% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.75

Telos Corporation (TLS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $432.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.75 (-0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 17.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$9 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TLS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TLS SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.99 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 44% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$4.63-13.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$4.01+21.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$4.87+18.7% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$5.78+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TLS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, TLS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.49) or 200D SMA ($4.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.83) toward Bear Floor ($4.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TLSβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TLS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TLS.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TLS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TLS
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.36%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.67H $5.87L $5.33C $5.78VOL 1.22M
RES: $5.98SUP: $3.98SMA50: $4.49SMA200: $4.53
$6.10$5.47$4.85$4.22$3.60RES $5.98SUP $3.98$5.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLS)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TLS vs. GRVY, IA, RZAI, CINT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Telos Corporation (TLS) ranks #250 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #423 by equity capitalization ($432.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IA leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while IA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.4% ROIC and 48.1% gross margin. IA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with TLS at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TLS ACTIVE
Telos Corporation
C- 60/100 β€” 37.0% -35.0% -2.12% $432.0M Benchmark Subject
GRVY
GRAVITY Co. Ltd. American Depository Shares
D+ 52/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.29% $470.1M /grvy-vs-tls β†’
IA
Innovative Solutions and Support Inc.
B+ 77/100 24.8x 48.1% 19.4% +4.34% $387.3M /ia-vs-tls β†’
RZAI
Roze AI Inc.
D 48/100 β€” β€” β€” -11.56% $485.2M /rzai-vs-tls β†’
CINT
CI&T Inc (Class A)
D 49/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.25% $384.1M /cint-vs-tls β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000320121

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Telos Corporation (TLS) reported GAAP revenue of $164.8M (+52.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.3M , and +13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$36.5M, operating cash flow of $30.2M, and free cash flow of $29.4M (+204.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TLS closed FY2025 with $139.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.99, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $164.8M -$36.5M $30.2M $29.4M $139.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $108.3M -$52.5M -$25.9M -$28.2M $158.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $145.4M -$34.4M $1.6M $1.6M β€” β€”

3. TLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Telos Corporation (NASDAQ: TLS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $5.78 (-2.12% 1D, market cap $432.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TLS ranks #250 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TLS compare to GRVY and IA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TLS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRVY (GRAVITY Co. Ltd. American Depository Shares) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $470.1M) and IA (Innovative Solutions and Support Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 24.8x, ROIC 19.4%, cap $387.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IA leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while IA leads on capital efficiency (19.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLS?

Per TLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000320121), Telos Corporation generated $164.8M in revenue (+52.2% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and $29.4M in free cash flow against $139.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TLS last traded at $5.78 (-2.12% on volume of 1,213,980 shares), positioning the stock +28.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.49) and +27.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.79 to $8.36, TLS sits at the 43.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($5.06 to $6.50).

TLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is TLS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TLS.

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