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Telos Corporation (TLS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.78 -2.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.75

Telos Corporation (TLS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $432.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.75 (-0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 17.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TLS SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.99 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 44% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$4.63-13.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$4.01+21.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$4.87+18.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$5.78+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TLS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, TLS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.49) or 200D SMA ($4.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.83) toward Bear Floor ($4.55).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TLS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TLS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.78: 1730.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.55

$7,872

$-2,128 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.83

$10,087

+$87 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $8.78

$15,190

+$5,190 (+51.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$6	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$8	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$5	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TLS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.36%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $5.67H $5.87L $5.33C $5.78VOL 1.22M

RES: $5.98SUP: $3.98SMA50: $4.49SMA200: $4.53

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TLS Butterfly Map → + Track TLS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLS)

Technology Rank #250 of 714 ⚔️ GRVY vs TLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TLS vs. GRVY, IA, RZAI, CINT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Telos Corporation (TLS) ranks #250 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #423 by equity capitalization ($432.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IA leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while IA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.4% ROIC and 48.1% gross margin. IA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with TLS at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TLS ACTIVE Telos Corporation	C-	60/100	—	37.0%	-35.0%	-2.12%	$432.0M	Benchmark Subject
GRVY GRAVITY Co. Ltd. American Depository Shares	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+1.29%	$470.1M	/grvy-vs-tls →
IA Innovative Solutions and Support Inc.	B+	77/100	24.8x	48.1%	19.4%	+4.34%	$387.3M	/ia-vs-tls →
RZAI Roze AI Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	-11.56%	$485.2M	/rzai-vs-tls →
CINT CI&T Inc (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	—	-3.25%	$384.1M	/cint-vs-tls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000320121

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Telos Corporation (TLS) reported GAAP revenue of $164.8M (+52.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.3M , and +13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$36.5M, operating cash flow of $30.2M, and free cash flow of $29.4M (+204.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TLS closed FY2025 with $139.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.99, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$164.8M	-$36.5M	$30.2M	$29.4M	$139.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$108.3M	-$52.5M	-$25.9M	-$28.2M	$158.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$145.4M	-$34.4M	$1.6M	$1.6M	—	—

3. TLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Telos Corporation (NASDAQ: TLS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $5.78 (-2.12% 1D, market cap $432.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TLS ranks #250 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TLS compare to GRVY and IA in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TLS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GRVY (GRAVITY Co. Ltd. American Depository Shares) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $470.1M) and IA (Innovative Solutions and Support Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 24.8x, ROIC 19.4%, cap $387.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IA leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while IA leads on capital efficiency (19.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLS?

Per TLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000320121), Telos Corporation generated $164.8M in revenue (+52.2% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and $29.4M in free cash flow against $139.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TLS last traded at $5.78 (-2.12% on volume of 1,213,980 shares), positioning the stock +28.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.49) and +27.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.79 to $8.36, TLS sits at the 43.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.06 to $6.50).

TLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TLS's 12-month stock price target?

Telos Corporation (TLS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.83 (+0.9% from $5.78), with a bull-case target of $8.78 and a bear-case floor of $4.55.

Is TLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TLS C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 60/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TLS RQD Cockpit TLS 12M Forecast TLS Earnings & Move TLS Dividends & DRIP TLS Insiders & 13F TLS Whale Options TLS Profit Sankey TLS News & Why