Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TKLF / financials

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Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.53 +8.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55

Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55 (+1.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TKLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TKLF SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0.9% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.51+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.51-6.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.41+8.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.53-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TKLF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TKLF currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.61) and Max Pain ($1.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TKLF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TKLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TKLF Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $195.7M

FY24

Rev $210.1M

FY25

Rev $373.2M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$373.2M	52%	0.9%	$716.7K	-$10.6M	15%
FY 2024	$210.1M	52%	2.2%	$6.6M	-$1.6M	15%
FY 2023	$195.7M	52%	3%	$7.5M	$1.9M	15%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TKLF)

✓Walkthrough of TKLF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TKLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.40H $1.53L $1.35C $1.53VOL 15.1K

RES: $2.47SUP: $1.09SMA50: $1.61SMA200: $2.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TKLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TKLF Butterfly Map → + Track TKLF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +77.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TKLF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TKLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TKLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TKLF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #569 of 1011 ⚔️ YJ vs TKLF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TKLF vs. YJ, POM, BQ, WBUY)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) ranks #569 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #940 by equity capitalization ($8.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TKLF leads on earnings valuation at 11.9x trailing P/E, while YJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -13.7% ROIC and 44.4% gross margin. TKLF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TKLF ACTIVE Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd.	D+	54/100	11.9x	—	—	+8.51%	$8.5M	Benchmark Subject
YJ Yunji Inc. American Depository Shares	D-	41/100	—	44.4%	-13.7%	-1.60%	$6.1M	/yj-vs-tklf →
POM POMDOCTOR LIMITED (Class A)	D	47/100	—	13.1%	-35.0%	+10.56%	$5.5M	/pom-vs-tklf →
BQ Boqii Holding Limited (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	26.3%	—	-1.04%	$3.9M	/bq-vs-tklf →
WBUY WEBUY GLOBAL LTD. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	12.0%	-35.0%	-3.58%	$3.3M	/wbuy-vs-tklf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001836242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) reported GAAP revenue of $373.2M (+77.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $210.1M , and +90.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $716.7K, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.6M (-567.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TKLF closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$373.2M	$716.7K	-$10.3M	-$10.6M	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$210.1M	$6.6M	-$598.7K	-$1.6M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$195.7M	$7.5M	$1.9M	$1.9M	—	—

3. TKLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TKLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: TKLF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $1.53 (+8.51% 1D, market cap $8.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TKLF ranks #569 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TKLF compare to YJ and POM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), TKLF carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, YJ (Yunji Inc. American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.7%, cap $6.1M) and POM (POMDOCTOR LIMITED (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TKLF leads on earnings multiple (11.9x) while YJ leads on capital efficiency (-13.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TKLF?

Per TKLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001836242), Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. generated $373.2M in revenue (+77.6% YoY), $716.7K in net income, and -$10.6M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TKLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TKLF last traded at $1.53 (+8.51% on volume of 42,738 shares), positioning the stock -4.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.61) and -29.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.17). Across its 52-week range of $1.30 to $3.49, TKLF sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.34 to $1.72).

TKLF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TKLF converted $373.2M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0.9% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TKLF RQD Cockpit TKLF 12M Forecast TKLF Earnings & Move TKLF Dividends & DRIP TKLF Insiders & 13F TKLF Whale Options TKLF Profit Sankey TKLF News & Why