Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TKLF / earnings

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Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.53 +8.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55

Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TKLF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TKLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: TKLF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $1.53 (+8.51% 1D, market cap $8.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TKLF ranks #569 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TKLF compare to YJ and POM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), TKLF carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, YJ (Yunji Inc. American Depository Shares) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.7%, cap $6.1M) and POM (POMDOCTOR LIMITED (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TKLF leads on earnings multiple (11.9x) while YJ leads on capital efficiency (-13.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TKLF?

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Per TKLF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001836242), Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. generated $373.2M in revenue (+77.6% YoY), $716.7K in net income, and -$10.6M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.55 (+1.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TKLF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TKLF SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 11% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0.9% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.51+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.51-6.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.41+8.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.53-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TKLF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TKLF currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.61) and Max Pain ($1.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TKLF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TKLF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.19 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TKLF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 54/100

Trailing EPS: $0.13 • YoY Revenue Growth: 77.6%

Model Bullish Setup (54/100)Model Risk Weight (46/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$373.2M	$716.7K	-$10.6M	52%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$210.1M	$6.6M	-$1.6M	52%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$195.7M	$7.5M	$1.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TKLF)

✓Walkthrough of TKLF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TKLF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.40H $1.53L $1.35C $1.53VOL 15.1K

RES: $2.47SUP: $1.09SMA50: $1.61SMA200: $2.17

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TKLF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TKLF Butterfly Map → + Track TKLF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +77.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TKLF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TKLF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TKLF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TKLF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #569 of 1011 ⚔️ YJ vs TKLF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TKLF vs. YJ, POM, BQ, WBUY)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) ranks #569 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #940 by equity capitalization ($8.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TKLF leads on earnings valuation at 11.9x trailing P/E, while YJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -13.7% ROIC and 44.4% gross margin. TKLF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TKLF ACTIVE Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd.	D+	54/100	11.9x	—	—	+8.51%	$8.5M	Benchmark Subject
YJ Yunji Inc. American Depository Shares	D-	41/100	—	44.4%	-13.7%	-1.60%	$6.1M	/yj-vs-tklf →
POM POMDOCTOR LIMITED (Class A)	D	47/100	—	13.1%	-35.0%	+10.56%	$5.5M	/pom-vs-tklf →
BQ Boqii Holding Limited (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	26.3%	—	-1.04%	$3.9M	/bq-vs-tklf →
WBUY WEBUY GLOBAL LTD. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	12.0%	-35.0%	-3.58%	$3.3M	/wbuy-vs-tklf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001836242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF) reported GAAP revenue of $373.2M (+77.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $210.1M , and +90.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $716.7K, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.6M (-567.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TKLF closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$373.2M	$716.7K	-$10.3M	-$10.6M	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$210.1M	$6.6M	-$598.7K	-$1.6M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$195.7M	$7.5M	$1.9M	$1.9M	—	—

3. TKLF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TKLF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TKLF compare to YJ and POM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TKLF?

Where is TKLF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TKLF last traded at $1.53 (+8.51% on volume of 42,738 shares), positioning the stock -4.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.61) and -29.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.17). Across its 52-week range of $1.30 to $3.49, TKLF sits at the 10.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.34 to $1.72).

TKLF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TKLF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tokyo Lifestyle Co. Ltd. (TKLF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is TKLF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for TKLF, spanning a range between $1.34 and $1.72.

Direct Sub-Reports: TKLF RQD Cockpit TKLF 12M Forecast TKLF Earnings & Move TKLF Dividends & DRIP TKLF Insiders & 13F TKLF Whale Options TKLF Profit Sankey TKLF News & Why