Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.24 -0.80% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.24

Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $55.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is THRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Thryv Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: THRY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-0.80% 1D, market cap $55.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, THRY ranks #66 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does THRY compare to TZOO and STFS in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), THRY carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 67.9%, and ROIC of 10.1%. By comparison, TZOO (Travelzoo) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $52.6M) and STFS (Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $74.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TZOO leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TZOO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THRY?
β–Ό

Per THRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001556739), Thryv Holdings Inc. generated $785.0M in revenue (-4.7% YoY), $307.0K in net income, and $63.5M in free cash flow against $688.6M in total assets and $236.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.24 (-0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 8.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510047
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.8% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE THRY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THRY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY THRY SCORES 47/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.1% FCF Margin ($63.5M FCF) & 67.9% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$1.28-7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$1.19+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$1.22+1.6% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$1.24-5.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (55) β†’ D (47)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THRY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While THRY currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.59) and Max Pain ($1.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.13.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THRYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTHRY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (THRY)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for THRY.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THRY)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of THRY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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THRY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.58%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.25H $1.25L $1.24C $1.24VOL 317.9K
RES: $4.51SUP: $0.91SMA50: $1.59SMA200: $3.02
$7.84$6.02$4.19$2.37$0.54RES $4.51SUP $0.91$1.242026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THRY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-10.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THRY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THRY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THRY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THRY)

Communication Services Rank #66 of 132 βš”οΈ TZOO vs THRY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (THRY vs. TZOO, STFS, IZEA, EDHL)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) ranks #66 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #100 by equity capitalization ($55.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TZOO leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TZOO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 80.3% gross margin. TZOO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with THRY at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THRY ACTIVE
Thryv Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 67.9% 10.1% -0.80% $55.5M Benchmark Subject
TZOO
Travelzoo
C 63/100 10.9x 80.3% 85.0% +0.78% $52.6M /tzoo-vs-thry β†’
STFS
Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 β€” 5.7% -35.0% +3.69% $74.1M /stfs-vs-thry β†’
IZEA
IZEA Worldwide Inc.
D 44/100 β€” 48.1% -35.0% +0.44% $38.9M /izea-vs-thry β†’
EDHL
Everbright Digital Holding Limited
D- 36/100 β€” 65.4% -35.0% -1.35% $35.3M /edhl-vs-thry β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001556739

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) reported GAAP revenue of $785.0M (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $824.2M , and -14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $307.0K, operating cash flow of $63.5M, and free cash flow of $63.5M (-29.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, THRY closed FY2025 with $688.6M in total assets against $236.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $785.0M $307.0K $63.5M $63.5M $688.6M $236.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $824.2M -$74.2M $89.8M $89.8M $712.2M $271.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $917.0M -$259.3M $148.2M $148.2M β€” β€”

3. THRY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Thryv Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: THRY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $1.24 (-0.80% 1D, market cap $55.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, THRY ranks #66 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THRY compare to TZOO and STFS in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), THRY carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 67.9%, and ROIC of 10.1%. By comparison, TZOO (Travelzoo) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $52.6M) and STFS (Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $74.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TZOO leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TZOO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THRY?

Per THRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001556739), Thryv Holdings Inc. generated $785.0M in revenue (-4.7% YoY), $307.0K in net income, and $63.5M in free cash flow against $688.6M in total assets and $236.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THRY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THRY last traded at $1.24 (-0.80% on volume of 552,569 shares), positioning the stock -22.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.59) and -58.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.11 to $7.74, THRY sits at the 2.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.09 to $1.39).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 47/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

THRY β€” Thryv Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:28Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

THRY scores 47 out of 100, a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 of 20 (ROIC 10.1%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 1.08).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are Whale 13F Flow and Macro Regime Fit, which together signal limited institutional sponsorship and sector-level sensitivity. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar is mid-range on ROIC but reports a 0% FCF yield per the market data, which indicates that reported cash generation is not translating into yield at the current price. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is the strongest contributor, supported by the Altman Z, Piotroski F, and Debt/Equity figures. Per the RQD rating, the overall verdict is a distribution warning, meaning the framework does not view the current setup as a constructive entry. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the EV/EBITDA of 5 against a market cap of $55.5M, while the 52-week range of $1.11 to $8.01 shows the price sits near the low end of its one-year band. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash conversion and institutional participation, neither of which the source data demonstrates.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Thryv Holdings Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector and the Advertising industry..1B. Per the market data, the gross margin is 67.9% and the operating margin is 7.2%. Specific products, customers, and revenue model details are β€”

Revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $917.0M in FY 2023 to $785.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to $56.7M in FY 2025. Net income was $0.3M in FY 2025, and the net margin in the market data is 0%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 10.1% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, with a Piotroski F-Score of 7 of 9 and Debt/Equity of 1.08. Reported debt has decreased from $271.2M to $236.0M over FY 2024 to FY 2025, while cash stood at $10.8M at FY 2025 year-end.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: FY 2025 operating income swung to $56.7M from losses in both prior years, and the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 15 of 20 with Piotroski F 7/9 and Altman Z 2.5. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 10.1%, FCF yield β€”) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $1.11 – $7.74 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD verdict is a distribution warning at 47/D, with Whale 13F Flow at 3 of 20, a 0% FCF yield, and an RBC price target cut from $3.00 to $2.00. Investors must weigh current valuation and 5.0x EV/EBITDA against 7.2% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links, no supply-chain designation, and no proprietary signals recorded. Sector correlation data beyond the Communication Services and Advertising classification is β€” The RBC price target reduction noted in the news flow is the only documented second-order signal, and its transmission to other names is β€” Investors should monitor how the scheduled Third Quarter 2026 results interact with the revenue trend already visible in the financials.

  • Key Question #1: What are the Third Quarter 2026 results when released on November 5, and do they confirm or reverse the FY 2025 operating income recovery?
  • Key Question #2: What is the explanation for the FCF yield of 0% when FY 2025 reported free cash flow of $63.5M?
  • Key Question #3: What drives the gap between the reported EPS (N/A) and the net income figures across periods?

THRY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to THRY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

THRY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.24?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON THRY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on THRY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.50 (+20.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

FY 2025 operating income swung to $56.7M from losses in both prior years, and the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 15 of 20 with Pi

Long THRY at $1.25 targeting $1.50. FY 2025 operating income swung to $56.7M from losses in both prior years, and the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 15 of 20 with Piotroski F 7/9 and Altman Z 2.5.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.11 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Advertising. If gross margin (67.9%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.06 (-15.2%)
Spot @ $1.25

The RQD verdict is a distribution warning at 47/D, with Whale 13F Flow at 3 of 20, a 0% FCF yield, and an RBC price target cut from $3.

Fading this rally in THRY at $1.25. The RQD verdict is a distribution warning at 47/D, with Whale 13F Flow at 3 of 20, a 0% FCF yield, and an RBC price target cut from $3.00 to $2.00.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.25 (52-wk range $1.11–$7.74), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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