Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.25 -2.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.24

Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $55.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.24 (-0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.4% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE THRY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for THRY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY THRY SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.1% FCF Margin ($63.5M FCF) & 67.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$1.41-14.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$1.21-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$1.19+5% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$1.25-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a THRY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While THRY currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.62) and Max Pain ($1.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $THRY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “THRY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.16 Expected Swing
$1.09 (-12.5%)Spot $1.25$1.41 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

THRY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.7%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$785.0M$307.0K$63.5M67.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$824.2M-$74.2M$89.8M65.2%
FY 20232023-12-31$917.0M-$259.3M$148.2M67.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring THRY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of THRY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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THRY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -65.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.26H $1.26L $1.21C $1.25VOL 317.9K
RES: $4.54SUP: $0.95SMA50: $1.62SMA200: $3.06
$7.93$6.08$4.23$2.38$0.54RES $4.54SUP $0.95$1.252026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

THRY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-10.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on THRY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for THRY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for THRY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (THRY)

Communication Services Rank #71 of 132 ⚔️ TZOO vs THRY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (THRY vs. TZOO, STFS, IZEA, EDHL)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) ranks #71 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #101 by equity capitalization ($55.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TZOO leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TZOO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 80.3% gross margin. TZOO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with THRY at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
THRY ACTIVE
Thryv Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 67.9% 10.1% -2.34% $55.5M Benchmark Subject
TZOO
Travelzoo
B- 71/100 10.9x 80.3% 85.0% +2.04% $51.1M /tzoo-vs-thry →
STFS
Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)
D- 41/100 — 5.7% -35.0% 0.00% $71.1M /stfs-vs-thry →
IZEA
IZEA Worldwide Inc.
D+ 56/100 — 48.1% -35.0% 0.00% $41.0M /izea-vs-thry →
EDHL
Everbright Digital Holding Limited
E 33/100 — 65.4% -35.0% -0.17% $34.5M /edhl-vs-thry →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001556739

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY) reported GAAP revenue of $785.0M (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $824.2M , and -14.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $307.0K, operating cash flow of $63.5M, and free cash flow of $63.5M (-29.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, THRY closed FY2025 with $688.6M in total assets against $236.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $785.0M $307.0K $63.5M $63.5M $688.6M $236.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $824.2M -$74.2M $89.8M $89.8M $712.2M $271.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $917.0M -$259.3M $148.2M $148.2M — —

3. THRY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is THRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Thryv Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: THRY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $1.25 (-2.34% 1D, market cap $55.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, THRY ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

How does THRY compare to TZOO and STFS in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), THRY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 67.9%, and ROIC of 10.1%. By comparison, TZOO (Travelzoo) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 10.9x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $51.1M) and STFS (Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $71.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TZOO leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TZOO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for THRY?

Per THRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001556739), Thryv Holdings Inc. generated $785.0M in revenue (-4.7% YoY), $307.0K in net income, and $63.5M in free cash flow against $688.6M in total assets and $236.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is THRY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

THRY last traded at $1.25 (-2.34% on volume of 238,020 shares), positioning the stock -22.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.62) and -59.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.06). Across its 52-week range of $1.11 to $7.75, THRY sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.09 to $1.41).

THRY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is THRY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Thryv Holdings Inc. (THRY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is THRY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for THRY, spanning a range between $1.09 and $1.41.

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