Stock Ratings / Technology / TE / options

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T1 Energy Inc. (TE) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.86 +8.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.90

T1 Energy Inc. (TE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $856.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.90 (+1.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 2.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TE SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$3.39-22.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$2.62-12.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.29+24.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.86-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, TE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.74) or 200D SMA ($6.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.82) toward Bear Floor ($2.20).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TE• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TE Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TE)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TE.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TE)

✓Walkthrough of TE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.42%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $2.68H $2.86L $2.56C $2.86VOL 16.52M

RES: $1.34SUP: $1.86SMA50: $3.74SMA200: $6.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TE Butterfly Map → + Track TE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TE)

Technology Rank #334 of 714 ⚔️ DQ vs TE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TE vs. DQ, KOPN, POET, AOSL)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, T1 Energy Inc. (TE) ranks #334 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #365 by equity capitalization ($856.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AOSL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.6% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. TE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TE ACTIVE T1 Energy Inc.	D+	55/100	—	7.4%	-35.0%	+8.74%	$856.6M	Benchmark Subject
DQ DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five	D-	41/100	—	-20.7%	-6.0%	+3.21%	$761.9M	/dq-vs-te →
KOPN Kopin Corporation	D-	41/100	—	—	-20.8%	+3.33%	$749.1M	/kopn-vs-te →
POET POET Technologies Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-3.08%	$979.5M	/poet-vs-te →
AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited	D	44/100	—	23.1%	-3.6%	+0.16%	$748.8M	/aosl-vs-te →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001992243

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), T1 Energy Inc. (TE) reported GAAP revenue of $755.3M (+25572.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.9M ) , GAAP net income of -$380.8K, operating cash flow of $95.5M, and free cash flow of $16.7M (+110.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TE closed FY2025 with $1.37B in total assets against $343.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$755.3M	-$380.8K	$95.5M	$16.7M	$1.37B	$343.8M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.9M	-$450.6K	-$102.8M	-$153.6M	$1.34B	$507.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$73.1K	-$87.9M	-$87.9M	—	—

3. TE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, T1 Energy Inc. (NYSE: TE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $2.86 (+8.74% 1D, market cap $856.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TE ranks #334 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TE compare to DQ and KOPN in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), TE carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DQ (DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $761.9M) and KOPN (Kopin Corporation) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.8%, cap $749.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AOSL leads on capital efficiency (-3.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TE?

Per TE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001992243), T1 Energy Inc. generated $755.3M in revenue (+25572.8% YoY), -$380.8K in net income, and $16.7M in free cash flow against $1.37B in total assets and $343.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TE last traded at $2.86 (+8.74% on volume of 27,568,030 shares), positioning the stock -23.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.74) and -52.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.08). Across its 52-week range of $2.08 to $12.49, TE sits at the 7.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.50 to $3.22).

TE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TE's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TE.

Direct Sub-Reports: TE RQD Cockpit TE 12M Forecast TE Earnings & Move TE Dividends & DRIP TE Insiders & 13F TE Whale Options TE Profit Sankey TE News & Why