MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why TE Stock surged +8.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.86 +8.74% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.90
T1 Energy Inc. (TE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $856.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.90 (+1.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 2.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TE SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (29% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$3.39-22.7% Next Q
63
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$2.62-12.6% Next Q
60
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$2.29+24.9% Next Q
58
CurrentGrade D+$2.86-0.5% Hist 90D α
55
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TE Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, TE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.74) or 200D SMA ($6.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.82) toward Bear Floor ($2.20).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TE• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TE Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TE Stock surged +8.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
T1 Energy Inc. (TE) surged +8.74% to $2.86, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($2.08 – $12.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($2.08 – $12.49) with RSI-14 at 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 7.4% gross margin and $16.7M annual free cash flow.
Live TE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TE)
- ✓Walkthrough of TE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.42%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $2.68H $2.86L $2.56C $2.86VOL 16.52M
RES: $1.34SUP: $1.86SMA50: $3.74SMA200: $6.08
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TE)
Technology Rank #334 of 714
⚔️ DQ vs TE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TE vs. DQ, KOPN, POET, AOSL)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, T1 Energy Inc. (TE) ranks #334 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #365 by equity capitalization ($856.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TE leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while AOSL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.6% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. TE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE
ACTIVE
T1 Energy Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 7.4% | -35.0% | +8.74% | $856.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| DQ DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five | D- | 41/100 | — | -20.7% | -6.0% | +3.21% | $761.9M | /dq-vs-te → |
| KOPN Kopin Corporation | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -20.8% | +3.33% | $749.1M | /kopn-vs-te → |
| POET POET Technologies Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -3.08% | $979.5M | /poet-vs-te → |
| AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited | D | 44/100 | — | 23.1% | -3.6% | +0.16% | $748.8M | /aosl-vs-te → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001992243In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), T1 Energy Inc. (TE) reported GAAP revenue of $755.3M (+25572.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.9M ) , GAAP net income of -$380.8K, operating cash flow of $95.5M, and free cash flow of $16.7M (+110.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TE closed FY2025 with $1.37B in total assets against $343.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $755.3M | -$380.8K | $95.5M | $16.7M | $1.37B | $343.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.9M | -$450.6K | -$102.8M | -$153.6M | $1.34B | $507.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$73.1K | -$87.9M | -$87.9M | — | — |
3. TE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, T1 Energy Inc. (NYSE: TE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $2.86 (+8.74% 1D, market cap $856.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TE ranks #334 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TE compare to DQ and KOPN in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), TE carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 7.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DQ (DAQO New Energy Corp. each representing five) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.0%, cap $761.9M) and KOPN (Kopin Corporation) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.8%, cap $749.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TE leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while AOSL leads on capital efficiency (-3.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TE?
Per TE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001992243), T1 Energy Inc. generated $755.3M in revenue (+25572.8% YoY), -$380.8K in net income, and $16.7M in free cash flow against $1.37B in total assets and $343.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TE last traded at $2.86 (+8.74% on volume of 27,568,030 shares), positioning the stock -23.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.74) and -52.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.08). Across its 52-week range of $2.08 to $12.49, TE sits at the 7.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.50 to $3.22).
TE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TE stock moving today?
Why TE Stock surged +8.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.