Stock Ratings / Technology / TBLA / forecast

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Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.52 +1.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.54

Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 4% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $887.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.54 (+0.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 8.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TBLA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TBLA SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 24% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 2.3% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$3.45-0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$3.44-0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$3.41+3.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$3.52+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TBLA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, TBLA faces multiple-compression risk if 21.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.56) or 200D SMA ($4.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.71) toward Bear Floor ($2.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TBLA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TBLA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TBLA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.52: 2840.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.89

$8,210

$-1,790 (-17.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.71

$10,540

+$540 (+5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $6.00

$17,045

+$7,045 (+70.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$4	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$6	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$3	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TBLA Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TBLA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.38%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $3.50H $3.52L $3.40C $3.52VOL 1.91M

RES: $6.66SUP: $2.93SMA50: $3.56SMA200: $4.01

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TBLA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TBLA Butterfly Map → + Track TBLA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TBLA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TBLA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TBLA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TBLA)

Technology Rank #104 of 714 ⚔️ DSP vs TBLA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TBLA vs. DSP, NXDR, CEVA, SIFY)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #361 by equity capitalization ($887.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TBLA leads on earnings valuation at 21.0x trailing P/E, while DSP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.5% ROIC and 45.8% gross margin. TBLA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TBLA ACTIVE Taboola.com Ltd.	B-	70/100	21.0x	29.8%	3.9%	+1.15%	$887.4M	Benchmark Subject
DSP Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	106.2x	45.8%	21.5%	-6.71%	$887.1M	/dsp-vs-tbla →
NXDR Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D	48/100	—	84.1%	-15.4%	-2.95%	$889.8M	/nxdr-vs-tbla →
CEVA CEVA Inc.	D-	35/100	—	87.1%	-3.0%	-0.68%	$905.2M	/ceva-vs-tbla →
SIFY Sify Technologies Limited	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+0.40%	$914.8M	/sify-vs-tbla →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001840502

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.91B (+8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and +32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.3M, operating cash flow of $208.4M, and free cash flow of $163.4M (+9.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TBLA closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $102.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.91B	$42.3M	$208.4M	$163.4M	$1.61B	$102.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.77B	-$3.8M	$184.3M	$149.2M	$1.72B	$116.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.44B	-$82.0M	$84.4M	$84.4M	—	—

3. TBLA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TBLA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Taboola.com Ltd. (NASDAQ: TBLA) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $3.52 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $887.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TBLA ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TBLA compare to DSP and NXDR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TBLA carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.0x, gross margin of 29.8%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, DSP (Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 106.2x, ROIC 21.5%, cap $887.1M) and NXDR (Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $889.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TBLA leads on earnings multiple (21.0x) while DSP leads on capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBLA?

Per TBLA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001840502), Taboola.com Ltd. generated $1.91B in revenue (+8.3% YoY), $42.3M in net income, and $163.4M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $102.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TBLA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TBLA last traded at $3.52 (+1.15% on volume of 1,272,566 shares), positioning the stock -1.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.56) and -12.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.01). Across its 52-week range of $2.84 to $5.71, TBLA sits at the 23.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($3.26 to $3.78).

TBLA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TBLA's 12-month stock price target?

Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $3.71 (+5.4% from $3.52), with a bull-case target of $6 and a bear-case floor of $2.89.

Is TBLA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TBLA B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 70/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TBLA RQD Cockpit TBLA 12M Forecast TBLA Earnings & Move TBLA Dividends & DRIP TBLA Insiders & 13F TBLA Whale Options TBLA Profit Sankey TBLA News & Why