Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$9.46 +5.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.54

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.54 (+0.84%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (13)Whales (14)SEC (7)Macro (13)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$13 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE SVV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SVV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SVV SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.9% FCF Margin ($48.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$9.23+9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$10.07-7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
52
Grade C-$9.37+1% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$9.46-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SVV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SVV faces multiple-compression risk if 64.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 65x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.66) or 200D SMA ($9.42) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.33) toward Bear Floor ($7.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SVV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SVV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SVV Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$48.6M (2.9% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.68BGross Profit $873.1M (52%)Cost of Sales $805.9MOp Profit $124.1M (7.4%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $749.0MNet Profit$22.6M (1.3%)Tax/Other $101.5M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.50B
FY24
Rev $1.54B
FY25
Rev $1.68B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.68B52%7.4%$22.6M$48.6M9.3%
FY 2024$1.54B52%8.5%$29.0M$28.4M10.2%
FY 2023$1.50B52%9.5%$53.1M$175.2M9.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SVV)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SVV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SVV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.95%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.52H $9.76L $9.14C $9.46VOL 2.72M
RES: $10.37SUP: $8.65SMA50: $9.66SMA200: $9.42
$13.09$11.43$9.76$8.10$6.43RES $10.37SUP $8.65$9.462026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SVV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
43.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SVV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SVV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SVV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #543 of 1011 ⚔️ REAL vs SVV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SVV vs. REAL, SBH, SPH, EZPW)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) ranks #543 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #461 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBH leads on earnings valuation at 8.7x trailing P/E, while SBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.9% ROIC and 51.6% gross margin. SBH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with SVV at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SVV ACTIVE
Savers Value Village Inc.
D+ 55/100 64.5x — 9.3% +5.70% $1.46B Benchmark Subject
REAL
The RealReal Inc.
D 46/100 — 74.6% -27.4% +2.62% $1.38B /real-vs-svv →
SBH
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)
B+ 79/100 8.7x 51.6% 38.9% +4.71% $1.71B /sbh-vs-svv →
SPH
Suburban Propane Partners L.P.
C 64/100 11.2x 60.6% 8.4% +1.08% $1.19B /sph-vs-svv →
EZPW
EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting
B 73/100 16.3x 58.5% 10.5% -1.99% $1.79B /ezpw-vs-svv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001883313

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.68B (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.54B , and +11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.6M, operating cash flow of $167.3M, and free cash flow of $48.6M (+71.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SVV closed FY2025 with $2.01B in total assets against $708.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.38, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-03 $1.68B $22.6M $167.3M $48.6M $2.01B $708.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $1.54B $29.0M $134.3M $28.4M $1.89B $735.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $1.50B $53.1M $175.2M $175.2M — —

3. SVV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Savers Value Village Inc. (NYSE: SVV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $9.46 (+5.70% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SVV ranks #543 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SVV compare to REAL and SBH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SVV carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 64.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.3%. By comparison, REAL (The RealReal Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.4%, cap $1.38B) and SBH (Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 8.7x, ROIC 38.9%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBH leads on earnings multiple (8.7x) while SBH leads on capital efficiency (38.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVV?

Per SVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001883313), Savers Value Village Inc. generated $1.68B in revenue (+9.2% YoY), $22.6M in net income, and $48.6M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $708.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SVV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SVV last traded at $9.46 (+5.70% on volume of 2,356,324 shares), positioning the stock -2.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.66) and +0.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.42). Across its 52-week range of $6.91 to $12.69, SVV sits at the 44.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($8.65 to $10.27).

SVV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SVV converted $1.7B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 7.4% operating margin, and $48.6M in free cash flow (2.9% FCF margin).

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