Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SVV / earnings

REAL (46) SBH (79) SPH (64) EZPW (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.6% Move

$9.46 +5.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.54

Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.46B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.54 (+0.84%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SVV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SVV SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.9% FCF Margin ($48.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.23+9.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$10.07-7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$9.37+1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$9.46-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SVV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SVV faces multiple-compression risk if 64.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 65x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.66) or 200D SMA ($9.42) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.33) toward Bear Floor ($7.28).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SVV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SVV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 2, 2027 (~61 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.6% Swing Band

±$0.81 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SVV Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $0.15 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.2%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-03	$1.68B	$22.6M	$48.6M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-28	$1.54B	$29.0M	$28.4M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-30	$1.50B	$53.1M	$175.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SVV)

✓Walkthrough of SVV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SVV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.95%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $9.52H $9.76L $9.14C $9.46VOL 2.72M

RES: $10.37SUP: $8.65SMA50: $9.66SMA200: $9.42

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SVV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SVV Butterfly Map → + Track SVV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

43.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SVV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SVV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SVV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SVV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #543 of 1011 ⚔️ REAL vs SVV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SVV vs. REAL, SBH, SPH, EZPW)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) ranks #543 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #461 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBH leads on earnings valuation at 8.7x trailing P/E, while SBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.9% ROIC and 51.6% gross margin. SBH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with SVV at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SVV ACTIVE Savers Value Village Inc.	D+	55/100	64.5x	—	9.3%	+5.70%	$1.46B	Benchmark Subject
REAL The RealReal Inc.	D	46/100	—	74.6%	-27.4%	+2.62%	$1.38B	/real-vs-svv →
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)	B+	79/100	8.7x	51.6%	38.9%	+4.71%	$1.71B	/sbh-vs-svv →
SPH Suburban Propane Partners L.P.	C	64/100	11.2x	60.6%	8.4%	+1.08%	$1.19B	/sph-vs-svv →
EZPW EZCORP Inc. Class A Non Voting	B	73/100	16.3x	58.5%	10.5%	-1.99%	$1.79B	/ezpw-vs-svv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001883313

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.68B (+9.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.54B , and +11.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.6M, operating cash flow of $167.3M, and free cash flow of $48.6M (+71.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SVV closed FY2025 with $2.01B in total assets against $708.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.38, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$1.68B	$22.6M	$167.3M	$48.6M	$2.01B	$708.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$1.54B	$29.0M	$134.3M	$28.4M	$1.89B	$735.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$1.50B	$53.1M	$175.2M	$175.2M	—	—

3. SVV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SVV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Savers Value Village Inc. (NYSE: SVV) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $9.46 (+5.70% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SVV ranks #543 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SVV compare to REAL and SBH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SVV carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 64.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.3%. By comparison, REAL (The RealReal Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.4%, cap $1.38B) and SBH (Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. (Name to be changed from Sally Holdings Inc.)) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 8.7x, ROIC 38.9%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBH leads on earnings multiple (8.7x) while SBH leads on capital efficiency (38.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVV?

Per SVV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001883313), Savers Value Village Inc. generated $1.68B in revenue (+9.2% YoY), $22.6M in net income, and $48.6M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $708.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SVV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SVV last traded at $9.46 (+5.70% on volume of 2,356,324 shares), positioning the stock -2.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.66) and +0.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.42). Across its 52-week range of $6.91 to $12.69, SVV sits at the 44.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($8.65 to $10.27).

SVV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SVV's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Savers Value Village Inc. (SVV)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 2, 2027.

How much is SVV stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.6% event move for SVV, spanning a range between $8.65 and $10.27.

Direct Sub-Reports: SVV RQD Cockpit SVV 12M Forecast SVV Earnings & Move SVV Dividends & DRIP SVV Insiders & 13F SVV Whale Options SVV Profit Sankey SVV News & Why