SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.60 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SUGP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #838 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.5M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?
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Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.6% Base Target
$306 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE SUGP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SUGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SUGP SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 16% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$1.81-9.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$1.63-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$1.59+0.6% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$1.60-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SUGP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SUGP currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.05) and Max Pain ($1.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $305.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SUGP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SUGP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SUGP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SUGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SUGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.73%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $1.60H $1.60L $1.60C $1.60VOL 52.4K
RES: $0.74SUP: $0.86SMA50: $3.05SMA200: $74.50
$194.7$142.4$89.97$37.59$-14.79RES $0.74SUP $0.86$1.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SUGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SUGP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SUGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SUGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SUGP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #838 of 1011 ⚔️ EHGO vs SUGP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SUGP vs. EHGO, CLIK, BIYA, PMEC)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) ranks #838 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #989 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BIYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. PMEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with SUGP at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SUGP ACTIVE
SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 — 16.0% — 0.00% $2.6M Benchmark Subject
EHGO
Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 — 17.0% — +0.97% $2.5M /ehgo-vs-sugp →
CLIK
Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share
E 29/100 — 15.3% — -2.61% $5.7M /clik-vs-sugp →
BIYA
Baiya International Group Inc (Class A)
E 18/100 — 11.5% -34.0% -0.81% $9.4M /biya-vs-sugp →
PMEC
Primech Holdings Ltd.
D- 39/100 — 17.1% — -7.55% $14.2M /pmec-vs-sugp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001969863

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) reported GAAP revenue of $24.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.4M , and +18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.4M, operating cash flow of -$2.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-254.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SUGP closed FY2025 with $16.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $24.7M -$2.4M -$2.0M -$2.2M $16.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $23.4M $1.4M $1.8M $1.4M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $20.9M $1.2M -$1.7M -$1.7M — —

3. SUGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #838 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.5M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?

Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SUGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SUGP last traded at $1.60 (0.00% on volume of 52,372 shares), positioning the stock -47.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.05) and -97.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.50). Across its 52-week range of $1.47 to $291.00, SUGP sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.40 to $1.80).

SUGP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does SUGP pay a dividend and is it safe?

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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