Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SUGP

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SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell SUGP stock right now?

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is SUGP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SUGP's 12-month base price target is $1.46 (range $1.14 to $305.55), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.60 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SUGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SUGP SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 16% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.23-21.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.76-8.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.61-0.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.60-7.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SUGP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SUGP currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.21) and Max Pain ($1.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $305.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SUGP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SUGP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

28.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.60H: $291

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SUGP

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 16.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SUGP

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SUGP)

✓Walkthrough of SUGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SUGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.75%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.60H $1.70L $1.57C $1.60VOL 42.5K

RES: $20.60SUP: $0.93SMA50: $3.21SMA200: $75.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SUGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SUGP Butterfly Map → + Track SUGP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SUGP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SUGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SUGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SUGP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #865 of 1011 ⚔️ EHGO vs SUGP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SUGP vs. EHGO, CLIK, BIYA, PMEC)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) ranks #865 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #989 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BIYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. EHGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with SUGP at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SUGP ACTIVE SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	16.0%	—	0.00%	$2.6M	Benchmark Subject
EHGO Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)	D	46/100	—	17.0%	—	+0.97%	$2.5M	/ehgo-vs-sugp →
CLIK Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share	D-	39/100	—	15.3%	—	-2.61%	$5.7M	/clik-vs-sugp →
BIYA Baiya International Group Inc (Class A)	E	23/100	—	11.5%	-34.0%	-0.81%	$9.4M	/biya-vs-sugp →
PMEC Primech Holdings Ltd.	D-	40/100	—	17.1%	—	-7.55%	$14.2M	/pmec-vs-sugp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001969863

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) reported GAAP revenue of $24.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.4M , and +18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.4M, operating cash flow of -$2.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-254.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SUGP closed FY2025 with $16.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$24.7M	-$2.4M	-$2.0M	-$2.2M	$16.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$23.4M	$1.4M	$1.8M	$1.4M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$20.9M	$1.2M	-$1.7M	-$1.7M	—	—

3. SUGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #865 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.5M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?

Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SUGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SUGP last traded at $1.60 (0.00% on volume of 52,372 shares), positioning the stock -50.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.21) and -97.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($75.49). Across its 52-week range of $1.47 to $291.00, SUGP sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.40 to $1.80).

SUGP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SUGP stock right now?

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (16% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SUGP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SUGP's 12-month base price target is $1.46 (range $1.14 to $305.55), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SUGP RQD Cockpit SUGP 12M Forecast SUGP Earnings & Move SUGP Dividends & DRIP SUGP Insiders & 13F SUGP Whale Options SUGP Profit Sankey SUGP News & Why