Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / STRR / financials

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Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$9.81 -0.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.78

Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 20/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $36.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.78 (-0.32%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (20/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STRR SCORES 20/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (40% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$10.32-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$9.81-1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$9.70+1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$9.81-11.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (28) → E (20)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STRR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STRR currently carries a cautious 20/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.08) and Max Pain ($10.30) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STRR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 20%NO 80%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How STRR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $161.3M

FY24

Rev $140.1M

FY25

Rev $172.2M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$172.2M	46.4%	-2.1%	-$5.9M	-$7.3M	-5.3%
FY 2024	$140.1M	50.1%	-2.7%	-$4.8M	-$2.8M	-12.9%
FY 2023	$161.3M	46.4%	0.9%	$2.2M	$315.0K	-5.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STRR)

✓Walkthrough of STRR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STRR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.13%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $10.00H $10.00L $9.65C $9.81VOL 4.3K

RES: $10.43SUP: $9.28SMA50: $10.08SMA200: $10.29

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STRR Butterfly Map → + Track STRR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #1007 of 1011 ⚔️ ACCL vs STRR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STRR vs. ACCL, AERT, RYOJ, BGSF)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) ranks #1007 by composite RQD confidence (20/100, grade E) and #843 by equity capitalization ($36.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AERT leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while AERT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 24.7% gross margin. AERT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with STRR at 20/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STRR ACTIVE Star Equity Holdings Inc.	E	20/100	—	46.4%	-5.3%	-0.71%	$36.2M	Benchmark Subject
ACCL Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)	C+	68/100	35.4x	44.1%	—	-0.38%	$36.1M	/accl-vs-strr →
AERT Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share	B-	70/100	11.5x	24.7%	85.0%	-0.16%	$32.5M	/aert-vs-strr →
RYOJ rYojbaba Co. Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	26.6%	-19.5%	+10.54%	$30.9M	/ryoj-vs-strr →
BGSF BGSF Inc.	D+	54/100	—	35.7%	-24.2%	+0.94%	$45.8M	/bgsf-vs-strr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001210708

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) reported GAAP revenue of $172.2M (+22.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $140.1M , and +6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.9M, operating cash flow of -$7.3M, and free cash flow of -$7.3M (-160.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRR closed FY2025 with $113.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$172.2M	-$5.9M	-$7.3M	-$7.3M	$113.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$140.1M	-$4.8M	-$2.8M	-$2.8M	$52.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$161.3M	$2.2M	$315.0K	$315.0K	—	—

3. STRR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: STRR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $9.81 (-0.71% 1D, market cap $36.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRR ranks #1007 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRR compare to ACCL and AERT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), STRR carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.4%, and ROIC of -5.3%. By comparison, ACCL (Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 35.4x, ROIC —, cap $36.1M) and AERT (Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $32.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AERT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while AERT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRR?

Per STRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001210708), Star Equity Holdings Inc. generated $172.2M in revenue (+22.9% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$7.3M in free cash flow against $113.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRR last traded at $9.81 (-0.71% on volume of 10,734 shares), positioning the stock -2.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.08) and -4.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.29). Across its 52-week range of $8.95 to $11.91, STRR sits at the 29.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.58 to $11.04).