MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why SST Stock dropped -2.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.77 -2.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76
System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 19/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $18.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76 (-0.59%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (19/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (19/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SST SCORES 19/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 37.7% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$2.34-10.3% Next Q
27
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.10-0.5% Next Q
24
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.09-15.3% Next Q
22
CurrentGrade E$1.77-12% Hist 90D α
19
Trajectory: E (27) → E (19)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SST Turnaround Squeeze
While SST currently carries a cautious 19/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.63) and Max Pain ($1.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.35.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SST• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SST Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SST Stock dropped -2.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) dropped -2.21% to $1.77, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.35 – $6.05). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($1.35 – $6.05) with RSI-14 at 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.77 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 37.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SST Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SST)
- ✓Walkthrough of SST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1.76H $1.79L $1.61C $1.77VOL 88.2K
RES: $6.34SUP: $0.64SMA50: $2.63SMA200: $2.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SST today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SST)
Technology Rank #713 of 714
⚔️ JF vs SST Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SST vs. JF, IPM, GMM, GIGM)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) ranks #713 by composite RQD confidence (19/100, grade E) and #614 by equity capitalization ($18.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SST leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and 37.7% gross margin. GMM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with SST at 19/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SST
ACTIVE
System1 Inc. (Class A) | E | 19/100 | — | 37.7% | -28.5% | -2.21% | $18.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| JF J and Friends Holdings Limited | D | 47/100 | — | 71.5% | -32.2% | +1.65% | $17.0M | /jf-vs-sst → |
| IPM Intelligent Protection Management Corp. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 52.3% | -29.6% | +0.40% | $15.5M | /ipm-vs-sst → |
| GMM Global Mofy AI Limited (Class A) | C- | 61/100 | — | 40.2% | — | +3.67% | $14.4M | /gmm-vs-sst → |
| GIGM GigaMedia Limited | E | 31/100 | — | 52.4% | -34.2% | -1.60% | $13.6M | /gigm-vs-sst → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001805833In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) reported GAAP revenue of $266.1M (-22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.9M , and -33.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$65.3M, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.2M (+20.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SST closed FY2025 with $405.0M in total assets against $228.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $266.1M | -$65.3M | -$4.1M | -$4.2M | $405.0M | $228.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $343.9M | -$74.7M | -$5.3M | -$5.3M | $459.1M | $255.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $402.0M | -$227.2M | -$24.7M | -$24.7M | — | — |
3. SST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, System1 Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $1.77 (-2.21% 1D, market cap $18.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SST ranks #713 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SST compare to JF and IPM in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SST carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.7%, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, JF (J and Friends Holdings Limited) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $17.0M) and IPM (Intelligent Protection Management Corp.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.6%, cap $15.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SST leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SST leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SST?
Per SST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805833), System1 Inc. (Class A) generated $266.1M in revenue (-22.6% YoY), -$65.3M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $405.0M in total assets and $228.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SST last traded at $1.77 (-2.21% on volume of 43,633 shares), positioning the stock -32.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.63) and -37.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.83). Across its 52-week range of $1.35 to $6.05, SST sits at the 8.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.55 to $1.99).
SST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SST stock moving today?
Why SST Stock dropped -2.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-29% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.