Stock Ratings / Technology / SST / forecast

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System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.70 -3.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68

System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $18.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SST Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, System1 Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.70 (-3.95% 1D, market cap $18.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SST ranks #709 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SST compare to JF and IPM in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SST carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.7%, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, JF (J and Friends Holdings Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $17.0M) and IPM (Intelligent Protection Management Corp.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.6%, cap $15.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SST leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SST leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SST?

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Per SST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805833), System1 Inc. (Class A) generated $266.1M in revenue (-22.6% YoY), -$65.3M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $405.0M in total assets and $228.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68 (-0.90%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SST SCORES 17/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 37.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.19-6.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.04-4.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.95-12.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.70-12.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (25) → E (17)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SST Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SST currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.62) and Max Pain ($1.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.35.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SST• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SST Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SST Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.70: 5882.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.08

$6,353

$-3,647 (-36.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.39

$8,176

$-1,824 (-18.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $6.35

$37,353

+$27,353 (+273.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$1	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$6	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SST)

✓Walkthrough of SST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.18%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $1.81H $1.81L $1.70C $1.70VOL 43.6K

RES: $6.36SUP: $0.63SMA50: $2.62SMA200: $2.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SST Butterfly Map → + Track SST →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SST)

Technology Rank #709 of 714 ⚔️ JF vs SST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SST vs. JF, IPM, GMM, GIGM)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) ranks #709 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #614 by equity capitalization ($18.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SST leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and 37.7% gross margin. GMM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with SST at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SST ACTIVE System1 Inc. (Class A)	E	17/100	—	37.7%	-28.5%	-3.95%	$18.6M	Benchmark Subject
JF J and Friends Holdings Limited	D	44/100	—	71.5%	-32.2%	-1.62%	$17.0M	/jf-vs-sst →
IPM Intelligent Protection Management Corp.	D-	42/100	—	52.3%	-29.6%	-9.75%	$15.5M	/ipm-vs-sst →
GMM Global Mofy AI Limited (Class A)	D	47/100	—	40.2%	—	-7.96%	$14.4M	/gmm-vs-sst →
GIGM GigaMedia Limited	E	21/100	—	52.4%	-34.2%	+14.63%	$13.6M	/gigm-vs-sst →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001805833

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) reported GAAP revenue of $266.1M (-22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.9M , and -33.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$65.3M, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.2M (+20.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SST closed FY2025 with $405.0M in total assets against $228.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$266.1M	-$65.3M	-$4.1M	-$4.2M	$405.0M	$228.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$343.9M	-$74.7M	-$5.3M	-$5.3M	$459.1M	$255.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$402.0M	-$227.2M	-$24.7M	-$24.7M	—	—

3. SST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SST compare to JF and IPM in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SST?

Where is SST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SST last traded at $1.70 (-3.95% on volume of 88,267 shares), positioning the stock -35.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.62) and -39.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.35 to $6.05, SST sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.49 to $1.91).

SST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SST's 12-month stock price target?

System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.39 (-18.2% from $1.70), with a bull-case target of $6.35 and a bear-case floor of $1.08.

Is SST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SST E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 17/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: SST RQD Cockpit SST 12M Forecast SST Earnings & Move SST Dividends & DRIP SST Insiders & 13F SST Whale Options SST Profit Sankey SST News & Why