Summit State Bank (SSBI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$11.43 -2.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.35

Summit State Bank (SSBI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $78.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SSBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Summit State Bank (NASDAQ: SSBI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $11.43 (-2.97% 1D, market cap $78.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SSBI ranks #473 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SSBI compare to PBHC and ASRV in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), SSBI carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PBHC (Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $81.9M) and ASRV (AmeriServ Financial Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $83.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UBCP leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while UBCP leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SSBI?
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For Summit State Bank (SSBI), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #473 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.35 (-0.72%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (11)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$15 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE SSBI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SSBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SSBI SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$12.31-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$12.15-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$12.00-4.8% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$11.43+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SSBI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, SSBI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.38) or 200D SMA ($13.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.48) toward Bear Floor ($8.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SSBI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SSBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SSBI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $11.43: 874.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $8.95
$7,830
$-2,170 (-21.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.48
$10,044
+$44 (+0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $14.70
$12,861
+$2,861 (+28.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SSBI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SSBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.57%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $11.49H $11.49L $11.43C $11.43VOL 846
RES: $13.23SUP: $11.22SMA50: $12.38SMA200: $13.15
$14.18$13.43$12.69$11.94$11.20RES $13.23SUP $11.22$11.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SSBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SSBI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SSBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SSBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SSBI)

Financials Rank #473 of 1096 ⚔️ PBHC vs SSBI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SSBI vs. PBHC, ASRV, UBCP, AUBN)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Summit State Bank (SSBI) ranks #473 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #991 by equity capitalization ($78.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UBCP leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while UBCP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ASRV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with SSBI at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SSBI ACTIVE
Summit State Bank
C- 59/100 — — — -2.97% $78.6M Benchmark Subject
PBHC
Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)
D 51/100 — — -1.6% +1.68% $81.9M /pbhc-vs-ssbi →
ASRV
AmeriServ Financial Inc.
C 63/100 14.9x — 4.7% -0.41% $83.7M /asrv-vs-ssbi →
UBCP
United Bancorp Inc.
C- 60/100 10.8x — 11.0% -3.02% $83.7M /ubcp-vs-ssbi →
AUBN
Auburn National Bancorporation Inc.
D+ 56/100 — — — 0.00% $89.6M /aubn-vs-ssbi →

2. SSBI Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Summit State Bank (SSBI) operates in Major Banks (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $78.6M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. SSBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SSBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Summit State Bank (NASDAQ: SSBI) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $11.43 (-2.97% 1D, market cap $78.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SSBI ranks #473 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SSBI compare to PBHC and ASRV in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), SSBI carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PBHC (Pathfinder Bancorp Inc. (MD)) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.6%, cap $81.9M) and ASRV (AmeriServ Financial Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 4.7%, cap $83.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, UBCP leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while UBCP leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SSBI?

For Summit State Bank (SSBI), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #473 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SSBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SSBI last traded at $11.43 (-2.97% on volume of 6,424 shares), positioning the stock -7.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.38) and -13.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.15). Across its 52-week range of $10.50 to $14.00, SSBI sits at the 26.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($10.82 to $12.04).

SSBI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SSBI's 12-month stock price target?

Summit State Bank (SSBI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $11.48 (+0.4% from $11.43), with a bull-case target of $14.7 and a bear-case floor of $8.95.

Is SSBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SSBI C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 59/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SSBI — Summit State Bank: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:18:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SSBI scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). This is the weakest read on the company's internal cash generation. Per the market data, the company reports zero return on invested capital and zero free cash flow yield, so this pillar offers no evidence of self-funding strength.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 11 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is a middling score. The source does not provide 13F detail, so the score cannot be traced to specific holders in this dossier.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is the lowest pillar. Per the RQD rating, insider flow does not show strong conviction, and the underlying trade records are not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). This is the strongest pillar. A beta of 1.0 implies the stock is expected to move broadly in line with the market, which is neither a defensive nor an aggressive profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is a moderate score. The Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are mid-range readings rather than signs of distress or strength.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a cautious, neutral stance rather than a strong conviction in either direction. The clearest drivers of upside would be an improvement in cash generation (currently reported at 0% for both ROIC and FCF yield) and a shift in insider or institutional behavior toward accumulation. The main valuation tradeoff is that the source data lacks P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA, so the stock cannot be assessed against earnings-based valuation benchmarks from this data alone. The stock's small market capitalization ($78.6M) and low trading volume (974) also suggest liquidity and price-discovery considerations that a prospective investor should weigh.

Business

Per the profile, Summit State Bank (SSBI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Major Banks industry. The profile describes its market capitalization as $0.1B. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation methods, so those details cannot be stated here.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the following items were reported:

  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A TradingView report titled "Summit State Bank Estimates – NASDAQ:SSBI." The summary is generic and does not contain specific figures.
  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Stock Titan report stating that a $5.7 million expense for loan losses accompanied a $1.1 million loss. This is the only item flagged as a risk and is the most material negative catalyst in the source data.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A GlobeNewswire release titled "Summit State Bank Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results." The summary does not include the results themselves.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A report noting SSBI sliding to $12.19 while trading below mid-range resistance, accompanied by an "Insider Selling Alerts" label. The insider selling reference is not supported by transaction detail in the holders section.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A report noting a 1.38% uptick to $12.15, holding the middle of its recent range.
  • CATALYST (GREEN): A report titled "SSBI Q2 2026 Earnings: Summit State Bank Posts $0.19 Loss Per Share as Shares Edge Higher." This is the only item flagged green, and it reports a loss per share of $0.19 for Q2 2026.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Financials, the industry is Major Banks, and the supply chain is listed as NONE. No butterfly links or proprietary signals are provided. Several headlines are sourced from domains that appear to be aggregator or unrelated sites rather than primary news outlets, which limits the reliability of those items.

Open Questions

  • What are SSBI's reported revenue, net income, and cash balances across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What drove the $5.7 million loan-loss provision and $1.1 million loss referenced in the RED risk-watch item?
  • What specific insider transactions underlie the "Insider Selling Alerts" label and the insider conviction score of 9 / 20?
  • Which institutional holders and options positions make up the whale / 13F flow pillar?
  • What are the reported Q3 2026 results referenced in the GlobeNewswire release, and how do they compare with Q2 2026?

SSBI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Summit State Bank (SSBI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SSBI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SSBI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.43?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SSBI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SSBI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $12.72 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SSBI (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $11.78?

Welcome to the SSBI (Summit State Bank) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Major Banks. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.66 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $11.78

Pump the brakes on SSBI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SSBI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Summit State Bank expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.84 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $11.78

SSBI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SSBI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.78 (52-wk range $9.97 - $12.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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