Stock Ratings / Industrials / SPB / options

MFP (52) ATS (58) RUN (37) ALG (77) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$81.53 +2.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.72

Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.87B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.72 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SPB SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.82 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$77.37+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$79.01+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$79.86+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$81.53+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SPB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, SPB faces multiple-compression risk if 18.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($83.01) or 200D SMA ($80.50) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($84.47) toward Bear Floor ($65.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SPB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.3%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SPB)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SPB.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SPB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SPB
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SPB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.30%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $82.63H $84.23L $81.53C $81.53VOL 304.3K

RES: $110.2SUP: $73.97SMA50: $83.01SMA200: $80.50

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SPB Butterfly Map → + Track SPB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPB)

Industrials Rank #105 of 485 ⚔️ MFP vs SPB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SPB vs. MFP, ATS, RUN, ALG)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #215 by equity capitalization ($1.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALG leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while ALG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and 24.8% gross margin. ALG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with SPB at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SPB ACTIVE Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.	C+	66/100	18.8x	36.7%	4.2%	+2.32%	$1.87B	Benchmark Subject
MFP Midera Food Processing Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.83%	$1.88B	/mfp-vs-spb →
ATS ATS Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-0.42%	$1.85B	/ats-vs-spb →
RUN Sunrun Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-3.2%	+2.29%	$1.83B	/run-vs-spb →
ALG Alamo Group Inc.	B+	77/100	17.2x	24.8%	14.3%	+1.70%	$1.79B	/alg-vs-spb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000109177

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (SPB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.81B (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -3.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $99.9M, operating cash flow of $203.6M, and free cash flow of $165.3M (+39.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPB closed FY2025 with $3.42B in total assets against $554.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.82, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$2.81B	$99.9M	$203.6M	$165.3M	$3.42B	$554.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.96B	$124.8M	$162.6M	$118.6M	$3.61B	$549.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$2.92B	$1.80B	-$409.7M	-$409.7M	—	—

3. SPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SPB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $81.53 (+2.32% 1D, market cap $1.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SPB ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPB compare to MFP and ATS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), SPB carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.8x, gross margin of 36.7%, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, MFP (Midera Food Processing Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.88B) and ATS (ATS Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.85B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALG leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while ALG leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPB?

Per SPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000109177), Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. generated $2.81B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), $99.9M in net income, and $165.3M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $554.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPB last traded at $81.53 (+2.32% on volume of 315,542 shares), positioning the stock -1.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($83.01) and +1.28% above its 200-day simple moving average ($80.50). Across its 52-week range of $51.41 to $99.06, SPB sits at the 63.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($77.21 to $85.85).