Sonos Inc. (SONO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.46 -1.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.38

Sonos Inc. (SONO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.07B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.38 (-0.48%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$21 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE SONO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SONO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SONO SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 68% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.5% FCF Margin ($136.9M FCF) & 43.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$17.26+0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$17.34+1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$17.54-0.5% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$17.46-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SONO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, SONO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.63) or 200D SMA ($15.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.30) toward Bear Floor ($13.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SONO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SONO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
3830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.10>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE68% OF RANGE
L: $12$17.46H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (44% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SONO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-30.5% ROIC with 43.7% gross margin and 6.63% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 4.10 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (53)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SONO
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SONO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SONO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SONO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.73%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $17.42H $17.46L $15.98C $17.46VOL 1.53M
RES: $18.68SUP: $15.03SMA50: $16.63SMA200: $15.26
$18.74$17.14$15.53$13.93$12.33RES $18.68SUP $15.03$17.462026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SONO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SONO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SONO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SONO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SONO)

Consumer Staples Rank #71 of 146 ⚔️ KN vs SONO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (SONO vs. KN, GNSS, UEIC, KOSS)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Appliances (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonos Inc. (SONO) ranks #71 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #54 by equity capitalization ($2.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KN leads on earnings valuation at 67.0x trailing P/E, while KN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.6% ROIC and 43.2% gross margin. KN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with SONO at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SONO ACTIVE
Sonos Inc.
D+ 56/100 — 43.7% -30.5% -1.63% $2.07B Benchmark Subject
KN
Knowles Corporation
C 62/100 67.0x 43.2% 6.6% +0.66% $2.96B /kn-vs-sono →
GNSS
Genasys Inc.
E 34/100 — 41.6% -35.0% +5.63% $77.0M /gnss-vs-sono →
UEIC
Universal Electronics Inc.
D 47/100 — 28.9% -4.4% -3.79% $65.3M /ueic-vs-sono →
KOSS
Koss Corporation
E 34/100 — 37.8% -4.9% -0.58% $32.3M /koss-vs-sono →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-27 • CIK 0001314727

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27), Sonos Inc. (SONO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.44B (-4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.52B , and -12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.1M, operating cash flow of $136.9M, and free cash flow of $136.9M (-27.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SONO closed FY2025 with $947.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.10, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-27 $1.44B -$61.1M $136.9M $136.9M $947.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-28 $1.52B -$38.1M $189.9M $189.9M $963.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.66B -$10.3M $100.4M $100.4M — —

3. SONO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SONO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sonos Inc. (NASDAQ: SONO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $17.46 (-1.63% 1D, market cap $2.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, SONO ranks #71 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SONO compare to KN and GNSS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Consumer Electronics/Appliances), SONO carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 43.7%, and ROIC of -30.5%. By comparison, KN (Knowles Corporation) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 67.0x, ROIC 6.6%, cap $2.96B) and GNSS (Genasys Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $77.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KN leads on earnings multiple (67.0x) while KN leads on capital efficiency (6.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SONO?

Per SONO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-27, CIK 0001314727), Sonos Inc. generated $1.44B in revenue (-4.9% YoY), -$61.1M in net income, and $136.9M in free cash flow against $947.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SONO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SONO last traded at $17.46 (-1.63% on volume of 920,090 shares), positioning the stock +4.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.63) and +14.42% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.26). Across its 52-week range of $12.44 to $19.82, SONO sits at the 68.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($16.19 to $18.73).

SONO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SONO stock right now?

Sonos Inc. (SONO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-31% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SONO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SONO's 12-month base price target is $17.3 (range $13.49 to $20.81), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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