MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why SOBO Stock advanced +1.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$35.94 +1.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.95
South Bow Corporation (SOBO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $7.50B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.95 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 36.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOBO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SOBO SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 36.1% FCF Margin ($717.0M FCF) & 84.2% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (21% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$33.22+4.4% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$34.69+2.1% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$35.43+1.4% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade C$35.94+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SOBO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, SOBO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 81.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($35.37) or 200D SMA ($34.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.59) toward Bear Floor ($28.54).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOBO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SOBO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SOBO Stock advanced +1.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
South Bow Corporation (SOBO) advanced +1.21% to $35.94, trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($25.02 – $39.02). Solid 84% profit margin (84% profit margin), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($25.02 – $39.02) with RSI-14 at 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.1% around $35.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 84.2% gross margin and $717.0M annual free cash flow.
Live SOBO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SOBO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SOBO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.96%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $36.06H $36.17L $35.76C $35.94VOL 343.8K
RES: $39.14SUP: $31.51SMA50: $35.37SMA200: $34.44
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SOBO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -6.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOBO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOBO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOBO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOBO)
Energy Rank #83 of 211
⚔️ UGI vs SOBO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SOBO vs. UGI, KNTK, PAGP, AROC)
Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, South Bow Corporation (SOBO) ranks #83 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #68 by equity capitalization ($7.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UGI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while KNTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. UGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with SOBO at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOBO
ACTIVE
South Bow Corporation | C | 62/100 | — | 84.2% | — | +1.21% | $7.50B | Benchmark Subject |
| UGI UGI Corporation | C | 64/100 | 12.2x | — | 9.4% | +0.31% | $8.27B | /ugi-vs-sobo → |
| KNTK Kinetik Holdings Inc. | C | 62/100 | 17.9x | — | 11.0% | +2.61% | $9.43B | /kntk-vs-sobo → |
| PAGP Plains GP Holdings L.P. (Class A) | C | 64/100 | — | 8.7% | 5.1% | +0.84% | $5.70B | /pagp-vs-sobo → |
| AROC Archrock Inc. | C | 62/100 | 17.5x | 48.6% | 8.0% | +0.75% | $5.63B | /aroc-vs-sobo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002019061In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), South Bow Corporation (SOBO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.99B (-6.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.12B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $717.0M, and free cash flow of $717.0M (+35.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOBO closed FY2025 with $11.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.99B | $0 | $717.0M | $717.0M | $11.19B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.12B | $0 | $529.0M | $529.0M | $11.33B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $2.00B | $0 | $779.0M | $779.0M | — | — |
3. SOBO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SOBO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, South Bow Corporation (NYSE: SOBO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $35.94 (+1.21% 1D, market cap $7.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SOBO ranks #83 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SOBO compare to UGI and KNTK in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), SOBO carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 84.2%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, UGI (UGI Corporation) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 12.2x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $8.27B) and KNTK (Kinetik Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $9.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UGI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while KNTK leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOBO?
Per SOBO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002019061), South Bow Corporation generated $1.99B in revenue (-6.3% YoY), $0 in net income, and $717.0M in free cash flow against $11.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (84% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SOBO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SOBO last traded at $35.94 (+1.21% on volume of 498,005 shares), positioning the stock +1.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($35.37) and +4.36% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.44). Across its 52-week range of $25.02 to $39.02, SOBO sits at the 78.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($34.47 to $37.41).
SOBO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SOBO stock moving today?
Why SOBO Stock advanced +1.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 84% profit margin (84% profit margin), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.