MARKET WIREReuters • 1h ago
China's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict - ReutersChina's foreign minister pushes for dialogue to resolve Middle East conflict Reuters
Why SND Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.84 -1.02% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.82
Smart Sand Inc. (SND) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $207.3M
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Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SND Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Smart Sand Inc. (NASDAQ: SND) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.84 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $207.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SND ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SND compare to IONR and ABAT in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), SND carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 154.1x, gross margin of 11.5%, and ROIC of -1.6%. By comparison, IONR (ioneer Ltd) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.8M) and ABAT (American Battery Technology Company) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $222.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SND?
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Per SND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529628), Smart Sand Inc. generated $330.2M in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $1.3M in net income, and $32.5M in free cash flow against $340.0M in total assets and $8.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.82 (-0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 9.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SND SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.58 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.9% FCF Margin ($32.5M FCF) & 11.5% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$5.28-3% Next Q
61
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$5.12-5.5% Next Q
58
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$4.84+0% Next Q
56
CurrentGrade D+$4.84-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SND Turnaround Squeeze
While SND currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.14) and Max Pain ($5.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.22.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SND Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Smart Sand Inc. (SND) slipped -1.02% to $4.84, trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($2.08 – $5.92). Stretched risk/reward at 154x P/E (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($2.08 – $5.92) with RSI-14 at 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.9% around $4.84 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 11.5% gross margin and $32.5M annual free cash flow.
Live SND Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 1h ago
COMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag - ReutersCOMMENTARY: Asia's crude oil imports back to pre-war levels but refined fuels lag Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 1h ago
US voters in a sour economic mood heading into midterm elections - ReutersUS voters in a sour economic mood heading into midterm elections Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 1h ago
Iranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says - ReutersIranians have left Doha talks, draft proposal for US deal being circulated, official says Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Saudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities - ReutersSaudi civil defence sounds all-clear after alerts in southern cities Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
World's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says - ReutersWorld's energy supply buffers have been eroded, ADNOC CEO says Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Gold rebounds from one-year low as oil slides ahead of US midterms - ReutersGold rebounds from one-year low as oil slides ahead of US midterms Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
China's Xi says Middle East should not become battleground for great power rivalry - ReutersChina's Xi says Middle East should not become battleground for great power rivalry Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SND)
- ✓Walkthrough of SND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.37%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $4.95H $4.95L $4.84C $4.84VOL 125.8K
RES: $5.51SUP: $4.70SMA50: $5.14SMA200: $4.89
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SND today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SND)
Materials Rank #87 of 270
⚔️ IONR vs SND Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SND vs. IONR, ABAT, PHOS, FEAM)
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smart Sand Inc. (SND) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #211 by equity capitalization ($207.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SND
ACTIVE
Smart Sand Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 154.1x | 11.5% | -1.6% | -1.02% | $207.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| IONR ioneer Ltd | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -0.35% | $216.8M | /ionr-vs-snd → |
| ABAT American Battery Technology Company | E | 29/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -9.29% | $222.4M | /abat-vs-snd → |
| PHOS First Phosphate Corp. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -3.48% | $241.5M | /phos-vs-snd → |
| FEAM 5E Advanced Materials Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -8.98% | $127.1M | /feam-vs-snd → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001529628In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smart Sand Inc. (SND) reported GAAP revenue of $330.2M (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $311.4M , and +11.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.3M, operating cash flow of $44.1M, and free cash flow of $32.5M (+199.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SND closed FY2025 with $340.0M in total assets against $8.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.58, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $330.2M | $1.3M | $44.1M | $32.5M | $340.0M | $8.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $311.4M | $3.0M | $17.9M | $10.9M | $341.5M | $9.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $296.0M | $4.6M | $31.0M | $31.0M | — | — |
3. SND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Smart Sand Inc. (NASDAQ: SND) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $4.84 (-1.02% 1D, market cap $207.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, SND ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SND compare to IONR and ABAT in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), SND carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 154.1x, gross margin of 11.5%, and ROIC of -1.6%. By comparison, IONR (ioneer Ltd) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $216.8M) and ABAT (American Battery Technology Company) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $222.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SND?
Per SND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529628), Smart Sand Inc. generated $330.2M in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $1.3M in net income, and $32.5M in free cash flow against $340.0M in total assets and $8.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SND last traded at $4.84 (-1.02% on volume of 195,881 shares), positioning the stock -5.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.14) and -1.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.89). Across its 52-week range of $2.08 to $5.92, SND sits at the 71.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($4.46 to $5.22).
SND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SND stock moving today?
Why SND Stock slipped -1.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 154x P/E (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.