Similarweb Ltd. (SMWB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 93% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.5% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
While SMWB currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.52) and Max Pain ($9.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.97.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Similarweb Ltd. (SMWB) slipped -1.32% to $8.98, trading at 93% of its 52-week range ($2.22 – $9.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
AI infrastructure spending has turned from a feel good growth story into a hard test of discipline as hyperscalers pour cash into chips and data centres while investors question what actually earns a return. That tension
Mounting expenses are weighing on Meta Platform’s profitability and the company admits scaling Muse is going to costly.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMWB today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMWB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Similarweb Ltd. (SMWB) ranks #484 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #371 by equity capitalization ($804.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EVER leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while EVER leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.1% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. EVER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with SMWB at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMWB
ACTIVE
Similarweb Ltd. | D | 45/100 | — | 79.5% | -35.0% | -1.32% | $804.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| EVER EverQuote Inc. (Class A) | B+ | 79/100 | 8.1x | 96.0% | 69.1% | +6.15% | $803.5M | /ever-vs-smwb → |
| BMBL Bumble Inc. (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | 70.8% | -35.0% | +0.34% | $789.2M | /bmbl-vs-smwb → |
| PUBM PubMatic Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 55/100 | — | 63.6% | -11.6% | +0.18% | $774.8M | /pubm-vs-smwb → |
| RXT Rackspace Technology Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 18.9% | -5.7% | +3.46% | $762.1M | /rxt-vs-smwb → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Similarweb Ltd. (SMWB) reported GAAP revenue of $282.6M (+13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $249.9M , and +29.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$32.9M, operating cash flow of $14.6M, and free cash flow of $13.2M (-54.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMWB closed FY2025 with $261.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.47, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $282.6M | -$32.9M | $14.6M | $13.2M | $261.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $249.9M | -$11.5M | $30.2M | $28.7M | $242.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $218.0M | -$29.4M | -$3.0M | -$3.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-01, Similarweb Ltd. (NYSE: SMWB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $8.98 (-1.32% 1D, market cap $804.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SMWB ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SMWB carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 79.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EVER (EverQuote Inc. (Class A)) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 8.1x, ROIC 69.1%, cap $803.5M) and BMBL (Bumble Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $789.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EVER leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while EVER leads on capital efficiency (69.1% ROIC).
Per SMWB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001842731), Similarweb Ltd. generated $282.6M in revenue (+13.1% YoY), -$32.9M in net income, and $13.2M in free cash flow against $261.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
SMWB last traded at $8.98 (-1.32% on volume of 242,910 shares), positioning the stock +5.40% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.52) and +62.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.51). Across its 52-week range of $2.22 to $9.50, SMWB sits at the 92.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($8.04 to $9.92).
Why SMWB Stock slipped -1.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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