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Stock Ratings / Industrials / SMID / financials
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Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$22.51 +0.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.59

Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $118.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SMID Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Smith-Midland Corporation (NASDAQ: SMID) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $22.51 (+0.76% 1D, market cap $118.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SMID ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMID compare to CSTE and RMIX in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Building Materials), SMID carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.5x, gross margin of 27.9%, and ROIC of 24.7%. By comparison, CSTE (Caesarstone Ltd.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.4M) and RMIX (Suncrete Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $762.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMID leads on earnings multiple (9.5x) while SMID leads on capital efficiency (24.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMID?
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Per SMID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000924719), Smith-Midland Corporation generated $93.4M in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $12.5M in net income, and $5.0M in free cash flow against $87.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (28% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.60 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 5.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510078
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+
Cash (17)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target
$42 Bull$25 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE SMID RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMID)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SMID SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.3% FCF Margin ($5.0M FCF) & 27.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$22.40+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$22.65-6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$21.29+5.7% Next Q
Current
78
Grade B+$22.51+7.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → B+ (78)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMID Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, SMID faces multiple-compression risk if 9.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.72) or 200D SMA ($29.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.54) toward Bear Floor ($18.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMID• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SMID Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 78%NO 22%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SMID Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$5.0M (5.3% FCF Margin)
Revenue$93.4MGross Profit $26.0M (27.9%)Cost of Sales $67.4MOp Profit $17.0M (18.2%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $9.0MNet Profit$12.5M (13.4%)Tax/Other $4.5M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $59.6M
FY24
Rev $78.5M
FY25
Rev $93.4M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$93.4M27.9%18.2%$12.5M$5.0M24.7%
FY 2024$78.5M25.5%12.6%$7.7M-$1.0M18.7%
FY 2023$59.6M27.9%1.9%$795.0K$7.7M24.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMID)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SMID's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
SMID // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.36%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $22.22H $22.57L $22.14C $22.51VOL 5.9K
RES: $22.31SUP: $19.89SMA50: $23.72SMA200: $29.71
$37.08$32.69$28.30$23.92$19.53RES $22.31SUP $19.89$22.512026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMID Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMID Butterfly Map → + Track SMID →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMID today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMID. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMID today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMID)

Industrials Rank #9 of 485 ⚔️ CSTE vs SMID Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SMID vs. CSTE, RMIX, LOMA, CPAC)

Industry: Building Materials (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #370 by equity capitalization ($118.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SMID leads on earnings valuation at 9.5x trailing P/E, while SMID leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.7% ROIC and 27.9% gross margin. SMID currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SMID ACTIVE
Smith-Midland Corporation
B+ 78/100 9.5x 27.9% 24.7% +0.76% $118.5M Benchmark Subject
CSTE
Caesarstone Ltd.
E 29/100 — 18.4% -35.0% +1.78% $58.4M /cste-vs-smid →
RMIX
Suncrete Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — — — +1.30% $762.4M /rmix-vs-smid →
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima ADS
D 45/100 — — — -0.65% $1.08B /loma-vs-smid →
CPAC
Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (Each representing five )
C 62/100 — — — 0.00% $1.08B /cpac-vs-smid →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000924719

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) reported GAAP revenue of $93.4M (+19.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $78.5M , and +56.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.5M, operating cash flow of $14.3M, and free cash flow of $5.0M (+574.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMID closed FY2025 with $87.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $93.4M $12.5M $14.3M $5.0M $87.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $78.5M $7.7M $5.2M -$1.0M $68.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $59.6M $795.0K $7.7M $7.7M — —

3. SMID Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Smith-Midland Corporation (NASDAQ: SMID) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $22.51 (+0.76% 1D, market cap $118.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SMID ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMID compare to CSTE and RMIX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Building Materials), SMID carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.5x, gross margin of 27.9%, and ROIC of 24.7%. By comparison, CSTE (Caesarstone Ltd.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.4M) and RMIX (Suncrete Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $762.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMID leads on earnings multiple (9.5x) while SMID leads on capital efficiency (24.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMID?

Per SMID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000924719), Smith-Midland Corporation generated $93.4M in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $12.5M in net income, and $5.0M in free cash flow against $87.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (28% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMID trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMID last traded at $22.51 (+0.76% on volume of 5,920 shares), positioning the stock -5.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.72) and -24.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.71). Across its 52-week range of $20.89 to $40.00, SMID sits at the 8.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($21.20 to $23.82).

SMID Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SMID converted $93.4M of revenue into a 27.9% gross margin, 18.2% operating margin, and $5.0M in free cash flow (5.3% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: SMID RQD Cockpit SMID 12M Forecast SMID Earnings & Move SMID Dividends & DRIP SMID Insiders & 13F SMID Whale Options SMID Profit Sankey SMID News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 78/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SMID — Smith-Midland Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline
As of: 2026-11-02T15:00Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) carries a composite score of 78/100 (B+ — Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) at a current price of $22.51 (+0.76%). Fundamental cash generation scores 17/20 (ROIC 24.7%, FCF yield 4.19%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 12/20, insider conviction scores 18/20, macro regime alignment scores 15/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 16/20 (Altman Z-Score 5.05, Piotroski F-Score 8/9).

Investor Implication: At 9.5x trailing P/E and 8.0x forward P/E within Building Materials, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (18.2%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $20.89 – $40.00.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Building Materials (Industrials), SMID is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin 27.9%), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

SMID Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SMID Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMID Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.51?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMID 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SMID:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $26.56 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SMID (B+ • RQD 78/100) a Buy at $22.51?

Welcome to the SMID (Smith-Midland Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 78/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Building Materials. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.7% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.78 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $22.51

Pump the brakes on SMID — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SMID, but look at what you are paying: 9.5x trailing P/E with 27.9% gross margins. Unless Smith-Midland Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.66 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $22.51

SMID cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SMID, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Building Materials and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $22.51 (52-wk range $20.89 - $40.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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