Stock Ratings / Industrials / SMID / dividends

CSTE (29) RMIX (42) LOMA (45) CPAC (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$22.34 +3.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.55

Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 25% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $118.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SMID Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Smith-Midland Corporation (NASDAQ: SMID) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $22.34 (+3.96% 1D, market cap $118.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SMID ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMID compare to CSTE and RMIX in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Building Materials), SMID carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.5x, gross margin of 27.9%, and ROIC of 24.7%. By comparison, CSTE (Caesarstone Ltd.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $58.4M) and RMIX (Suncrete Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $762.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMID leads on earnings multiple (9.5x) while SMID leads on capital efficiency (24.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMID?

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Per SMID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000924719), Smith-Midland Corporation generated $93.4M in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $12.5M in net income, and $5.0M in free cash flow against $87.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (28% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.55 (+0.95%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 5.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMID)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMID SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.3% FCF Margin ($5.0M FCF) & 27.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A$22.40+1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade A$22.65-6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade A-$21.29+4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$22.34+7.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A (86) → B+ (78)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMID Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, SMID faces multiple-compression risk if 9.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.72) or 200D SMA ($29.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.35) toward Bear Floor ($18.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMID• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMID Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 78%NO 22%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (12.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $31,901

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $574/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.2K

Yr 1

$12.6K

Yr 2

$14.2K

Yr 3

$15.9K

Yr 4

$17.9K

Yr 5

$20.1K

Yr 6

$22.5K

Yr 7

$25.3K

Yr 8

$28.4K

Yr 9

$31.9K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in SMID & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on SMID and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SMID // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.87%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $22.22H $22.57L $22.14C $22.34VOL 5.9K

RES: $22.31SUP: $19.89SMA50: $23.72SMA200: $29.71

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMID Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMID Butterfly Map → + Track SMID →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMID today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMID. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMID today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMID)

Industrials Rank #9 of 485 ⚔️ CSTE vs SMID Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SMID vs. CSTE, RMIX, LOMA, CPAC)

Industry: Building Materials (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #370 by equity capitalization ($118.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SMID leads on earnings valuation at 9.5x trailing P/E, while SMID leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.7% ROIC and 27.9% gross margin. SMID currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMID ACTIVE Smith-Midland Corporation	B+	78/100	9.5x	27.9%	24.7%	+3.96%	$118.5M	Benchmark Subject
CSTE Caesarstone Ltd.	E	29/100	—	18.4%	-35.0%	-31.85%	$58.4M	/cste-vs-smid →
RMIX Suncrete Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+4.80%	$762.4M	/rmix-vs-smid →
LOMA Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima ADS	D	45/100	—	—	—	+1.54%	$1.08B	/loma-vs-smid →
CPAC Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (Each representing five )	C	62/100	—	—	—	-0.23%	$1.08B	/cpac-vs-smid →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000924719

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) reported GAAP revenue of $93.4M (+19.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $78.5M , and +56.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.5M, operating cash flow of $14.3M, and free cash flow of $5.0M (+574.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMID closed FY2025 with $87.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.05, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$93.4M	$12.5M	$14.3M	$5.0M	$87.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$78.5M	$7.7M	$5.2M	-$1.0M	$68.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$59.6M	$795.0K	$7.7M	$7.7M	—	—

3. SMID Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SMID compare to CSTE and RMIX in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMID?

Where is SMID trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMID last traded at $22.34 (+3.96% on volume of 10,477 shares), positioning the stock -5.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.72) and -24.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.71). Across its 52-week range of $20.89 to $40.00, SMID sits at the 7.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($21.04 to $23.64).

SMID Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does SMID pay a dividend and is it safe?

Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: SMID RQD Cockpit SMID 12M Forecast SMID Earnings & Move SMID Dividends & DRIP SMID Insiders & 13F SMID Whale Options SMID Profit Sankey SMID News & Why