Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) Next Earnings Date & Options-Implied ±7% Move

$61.87 +3.70% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (65/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+264.4% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.60B

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)

44% PutsMax Pain: $61.00

NEXT EST. REPORT: Dec 29, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Options-Implied Post-Earnings ±7% Bell Curve

±$4.33 Expected Swing

TRADER CROWD SENTIMENT POLL

Will SMG Beat & Rip or Miss Next Quarter?

Trailing EPS: $2.49 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.9%

53% Bullish Beat47% Bearish Miss

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$3.41B	$145.2M	$273.9M	30.6%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$3.55B	-$34.9M	$583.5M	23.9%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$3.55B	-$380.1M	$371.2M	44%

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SMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.73%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $62.43H $62.90L $61.67C $62.24VOL 1.46M

RES: $55.62SUP: $41.37SMA50: $55.30SMA200: $61.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMG Butterfly Map → + Track SMG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

SMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SMG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG)'s next quarterly earnings window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is SMG stock expected to move on earnings?

Options markets currently imply a ±7% post-earnings move for SMG, projecting a trading range between $57.54 and $66.2.

Direct Sub-Reports: SMG RQD Cockpit SMG 12M Forecast SMG Earnings & Move SMG Dividends & DRIP SMG Insiders & 13F SMG Whale Options SMG Profit Sankey SMG News & Why