Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$61.87 +3.70% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (65/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+264.4% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.60B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$79 Bull$64 Base$50 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $61.00
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
6.08% Total Yield
4.28% Cash ($2.65/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
36.6% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $25,010

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,521/yr
$11.0K
Yr 1
$12.0K
Yr 2
$13.2K
Yr 3
$14.4K
Yr 4
$15.8K
Yr 5
$17.3K
Yr 6
$19.0K
Yr 7
$20.8K
Yr 8
$22.8K
Yr 9
$25.0K
Yr 10
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring SMG)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of SMG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
SMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.73%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $62.43H $62.90L $61.67C $62.24VOL 1.46M
RES: $55.62SUP: $41.37SMA50: $55.30SMA200: $61.87
$77.26$69.30$61.35$53.39$45.43RES $55.62SUP $41.37$62.242026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

SMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does SMG pay a dividend and is it safe?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) (SMG) offers a 4.28% cash dividend yield ($2.65 annualized) and 6.08% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.