Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SFL / forecast

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SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$13.17 +3.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.22

SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.22 (+0.36%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 36.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SFL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SFL SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 36.4% FCF Margin ($267.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$13.34-7.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$12.36+2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$12.66+4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$13.17-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SFL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SFL currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.86) and Max Pain ($13.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SFL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SFL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SFL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $13.17: 759.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.77

$7,418

$-2,582 (-25.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $12.52

$9,506

$-494 (-4.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $14.77

$11,215

+$1,215 (+12.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$13	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$14	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$11	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SFL)

✓Walkthrough of SFL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SFL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $13.11H $13.17L $12.84C $13.17VOL 929.6K

RES: $15.23SUP: $11.64SMA50: $12.86SMA200: $11.42

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SFL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SFL Butterfly Map → + Track SFL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -18.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SFL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SFL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SFL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SFL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #700 of 1011 ⚔️ CMRE vs SFL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SFL vs. CMRE, NAT, TEN, FLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) ranks #700 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #434 by equity capitalization ($1.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with SFL at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SFL ACTIVE SFL Corporation Ltd	D	47/100	—	—	3.9%	+3.05%	$1.75B	Benchmark Subject
CMRE Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value	D+	56/100	4.8x	—	12.8%	-2.44%	$1.74B	/cmre-vs-sfl →
NAT Nordic American Tankers Limited	D+	56/100	139.9x	62.3%	4.6%	+2.01%	$1.72B	/nat-vs-sfl →
TEN Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd	C	62/100	10.2x	—	6.6%	+1.34%	$1.64B	/ten-vs-sfl →
FLNG FLEX LNG Ltd.	D	49/100	20.7x	—	6.9%	+1.34%	$1.55B	/flng-vs-sfl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001289877

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) reported GAAP revenue of $733.0M (-18.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $904.4M , and -2.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$26.4M, operating cash flow of $267.1M, and free cash flow of $267.1M (-27.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SFL closed FY2025 with $3.64B in total assets against $1.96B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.56, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$733.0M	-$26.4M	$267.1M	$267.1M	$3.64B	$1.96B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$904.4M	$130.7M	$369.9M	$369.9M	$4.11B	$2.15B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$752.3M	$83.9M	$343.1M	$343.1M	—	—

3. SFL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SFL Corporation Ltd (NYSE: SFL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $13.17 (+3.05% 1D, market cap $1.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SFL ranks #700 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SFL compare to CMRE and NAT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SFL carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.74B) and NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFL?

Per SFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001289877), SFL Corporation Ltd generated $733.0M in revenue (-18.9% YoY), -$26.4M in net income, and $267.1M in free cash flow against $3.64B in total assets and $1.96B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SFL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SFL last traded at $13.17 (+3.05% on volume of 1,257,711 shares), positioning the stock +2.41% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.86) and +15.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($11.42). Across its 52-week range of $7.27 to $13.98, SFL sits at the 87.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($12.27 to $14.07).

SFL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SFL's 12-month stock price target?

SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $12.52 (-4.9% from $13.17), with a bull-case target of $14.77 and a bear-case floor of $9.77.

Is SFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates SFL D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 47/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: SFL RQD Cockpit SFL 12M Forecast SFL Earnings & Move SFL Dividends & DRIP SFL Insiders & 13F SFL Whale Options SFL Profit Sankey SFL News & Why