ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. (SFBS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$40.28 -0.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.16

ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. (SFBS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.43B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SFBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. (NYSE: SFBS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $40.28 (-0.59% 1D, market cap $4.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SFBS ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SFBS compare to FFIN and UCB in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), SFBS carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.0%. By comparison, FFIN (First Financial Bankshares Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.41B) and UCB (United Community Banks Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 13.7x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FULT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while SFBS leads on capital efficiency (15.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFBS?
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Per SFBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001430723), ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $276.6M in net income, and $355.2M in free cash flow against $17.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.16 (-0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 8.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+
Cash (16)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$49 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE SFBS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SFBS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SFBS SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.9% FCF Margin ($355.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.9) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$38.73+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$38.75+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$41.09-2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$40.28+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SFBS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, SFBS faces multiple-compression risk if 16.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($40.93) or 200D SMA ($40.81) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.19) toward Bear Floor ($32.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SFBS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SFBS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SFBS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SFBS.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SFBS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SFBS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SFBS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $39.86H $40.52L $39.86C $40.28VOL 396.8K
RES: $48.00SUP: $36.05SMA50: $40.93SMA200: $40.81
$46.66$44.10$41.55$39.00$36.45RES $48.00SUP $36.05$40.282026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SFBS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SFBS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SFBS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SFBS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SFBS)

Financials Rank #338 of 1096 ⚔️ FFIN vs SFBS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SFBS vs. FFIN, UCB, CATY, FULT)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. (SFBS) ranks #338 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #296 by equity capitalization ($4.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FULT leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while SFBS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.0% ROIC and — gross margin. UCB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SFBS at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SFBS ACTIVE
ServisFirst Bancshares Inc.
C 63/100 16.0x — 15.0% -0.59% $4.43B Benchmark Subject
FFIN
First Financial Bankshares Inc.
D+ 57/100 17.4x — 13.2% -0.52% $4.41B /ffin-vs-sfbs →
UCB
United Community Banks Inc.
B 74/100 13.7x — 9.0% -1.29% $4.49B /ucb-vs-sfbs →
CATY
Cathay General Bancorp
B- 71/100 13.8x — 10.8% -1.45% $4.36B /caty-vs-sfbs →
FULT
Fulton Financial Corporation
C 64/100 11.5x — 11.2% -0.89% $4.52B /fult-vs-sfbs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001430723

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. (SFBS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $276.6M, operating cash flow of $355.2M, and free cash flow of $355.2M (+40.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SFBS closed FY2025 with $17.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $276.6M $355.2M $355.2M $17.73B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $227.2M $252.9M $252.9M $17.35B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $206.9M $197.3M $197.3M — —

3. SFBS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SFBS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. (NYSE: SFBS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $40.28 (-0.59% 1D, market cap $4.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SFBS ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SFBS compare to FFIN and UCB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), SFBS carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.0%. By comparison, FFIN (First Financial Bankshares Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $4.41B) and UCB (United Community Banks Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 13.7x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FULT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while SFBS leads on capital efficiency (15.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SFBS?

Per SFBS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001430723), ServisFirst Bancshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $276.6M in net income, and $355.2M in free cash flow against $17.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SFBS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SFBS last traded at $40.28 (-0.59% on volume of 577,111 shares), positioning the stock -1.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($40.93) and -1.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($40.81). Across its 52-week range of $33.60 to $46.04, SFBS sits at the 53.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($38.02 to $42.54).

SFBS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SFBS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SFBS.

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