Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$3.74 -1.84% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.72

Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $575.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.72 (-0.52%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
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Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (3)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.8% Base Target
$13 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE SATL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SATL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SATL SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (43% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$5.15-25.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$3.84-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$3.83-2.3% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$3.74-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SATL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SATL currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.86) and Max Pain ($3.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SATL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SATL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SATL Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SATL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SATL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SATL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SATL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SATL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $3.60H $3.74L $3.16C $3.74VOL 6.01M
RES: $6.66SUP: $3.40SMA50: $4.86SMA200: $5.31
$12.62$10.06$7.49$4.93$2.36RES $6.66SUP $3.40$3.742026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SATL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +37.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SATL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SATL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SATL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SATL)

Technology Rank #707 of 714 ⚔️ GILT vs SATL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SATL vs. GILT, BKSY, UMAC, HLIT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) ranks #707 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #409 by equity capitalization ($575.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. GILT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with SATL at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SATL ACTIVE
Satellogic Inc. (Class A)
E 23/100 — — -35.0% -1.84% $575.0M Benchmark Subject
GILT
Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.
C- 59/100 29.3x 29.5% 5.6% +1.77% $607.5M /gilt-vs-satl →
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)
E 32/100 — — -15.1% +0.47% $785.8M /bksy-vs-satl →
UMAC
Unusual Machines Inc.
E 28/100 — 34.9% -27.7% -1.93% $863.2M /umac-vs-satl →
HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
D+ 56/100 — 48.5% 3.0% +0.65% $1.18B /hlit-vs-satl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001874315

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) reported GAAP revenue of $17.7M (+37.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.9M , and +75.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.8M, operating cash flow of -$26.9M, and free cash flow of -$34.3M (+16.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SATL closed FY2025 with $151.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.23, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.7M -$4.8M -$26.9M -$34.3M $151.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.9M -$116.3M -$35.9M -$40.9M $61.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $10.1M $0 -$49.6M -$49.6M — —

3. SATL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SATL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SATL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $3.74 (-1.84% 1D, market cap $575.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SATL ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SATL compare to GILT and BKSY in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), SATL carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M) and BKSY (BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.1%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SATL?

Per SATL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001874315), Satellogic Inc. (Class A) generated $17.7M in revenue (+37.6% YoY), -$4.8M in net income, and -$34.3M in free cash flow against $151.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SATL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SATL last traded at $3.74 (-1.84% on volume of 2,879,605 shares), positioning the stock -23.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.86) and -29.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.31). Across its 52-week range of $1.25 to $12.00, SATL sits at the 23.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.27 to $4.21).

SATL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are SATL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies SATL leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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