MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why SAR Stock surged +2.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$13.94 +2.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.98
Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $216.9M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.98 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SAR SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 30.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (23% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$15.03+1.9% Next Q
60
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$15.32-11.4% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$13.57+2.7% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$13.94-1.1% Hist 90D α
52
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SAR Turnaround Squeeze
While SAR currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.40) and Max Pain ($14.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.27.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why SAR Stock surged +2.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) surged +2.65% to $13.94, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($13.23 – $24.07). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($13.23 – $24.07) with RSI-14 at 30.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $13.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SAR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 7h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SAR)
- ✓Walkthrough of SAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -40.17%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $14.00H $14.00L $13.55C $13.94VOL 100.6K
RES: $15.82SUP: $11.98SMA50: $16.40SMA200: $20.53
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
SAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAR)
Financials Rank #771 of 1096
⚔️ ETX vs SAR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SAR vs. ETX, WHG, PAAC, ARDC)
Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) ranks #771 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #874 by equity capitalization ($216.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while SAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.9% ROIC and — gross margin. WHG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with SAR at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAR
ACTIVE
Saratoga Investment Corp | D+ | 52/100 | 5.9x | — | 8.9% | +2.65% | $216.9M | Benchmark Subject |
| ETX Eaton Vance Municipal Income 2028 Term Trust of | D | 51/100 | — | — | — | +0.58% | $190.2M | /etx-vs-sar → |
| WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc | C | 62/100 | 25.5x | — | 4.0% | +0.48% | $180.7M | /whg-vs-sar → |
| PAAC Proem Acquisition Corp I | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $177.3M | /paac-vs-sar → |
| ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | +1.04% | $267.4M | /ardc-vs-sar → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0001377936In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Saratoga Investment Corp (SAR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $36.6M, operating cash flow of -$88.0M, and free cash flow of -$88.0M (-144.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAR closed FY2025 with $1.20B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-02-28 | $0 | $36.6M | -$88.0M | -$88.0M | $1.20B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-28 | $0 | $28.1M | $197.5M | $197.5M | $1.22B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-29 | $0 | $8.9M | -$157.2M | -$157.2M | — | — |
3. SAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Saratoga Investment Corp (NYSE: SAR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $13.94 (+2.65% 1D, market cap $216.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, SAR ranks #771 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SAR compare to ETX and WHG in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), SAR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, ETX (Eaton Vance Municipal Income 2028 Term Trust of) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $190.2M) and WHG (Westwood Holdings Group Inc) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 25.5x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $180.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while SAR leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAR?
Per SAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0001377936), Saratoga Investment Corp generated $0 in revenue, $36.6M in net income, and -$88.0M in free cash flow against $1.20B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SAR last traded at $13.94 (+2.65% on volume of 56,435 shares), positioning the stock -15.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.40) and -32.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.53). Across its 52-week range of $13.23 to $24.07, SAR sits at the 6.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($12.82 to $15.06).
SAR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SAR stock moving today?
Why SAR Stock surged +2.65% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.