Stock Ratings / Industrials / SAIA / earnings

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Saia Inc. (SAIA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.2% Move

$343.07 +5.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Saia Inc. (SAIA) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.15B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.2% Swing Band

±$28.13 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SAIA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $9.56 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.8%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$3.23B	$255.0M	$27.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$3.21B	$362.1M	-$459.9M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$2.88B	$354.9M	$448.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SAIA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SAIA
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

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SAIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.31%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-01O $324.6H $343.1L $324.6C $343.1VOL 780.7K

RES: $338.4SUP: $319.3SMA50: $341.7SMA200: $388.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SAIA Butterfly Map → + Track SAIA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

27.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAIA)

Industrials Rank #103 of 166 ⚔️ TFII vs SAIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SAIA vs. TFII, KNX, ZTO, SNDR)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 166 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Saia Inc. (SAIA) ranks #103 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #106 by equity capitalization ($9.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while ZTO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.5% ROIC and 25.0% gross margin. ZTO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with SAIA at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SAIA ACTIVE Saia Inc.	C-	59/100	35.9x	—	8.5%	+5.68%	$9.15B	Benchmark Subject
TFII TFI International Inc.	D+	55/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+0.38%	$9.25B	/tfii-vs-saia →
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.	D	48/100	150.9x	—	1.9%	+0.48%	$9.95B	/knx-vs-saia →
ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American	C	65/100	11.8x	25.0%	12.5%	+0.66%	$15.31B	/zto-vs-saia →
SNDR Schneider National Inc.	D+	56/100	49.8x	—	4.2%	-0.87%	$5.16B	/sndr-vs-saia →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001177702

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Saia Inc. (SAIA) reported GAAP revenue of $3.23B (+0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.21B , and +12.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $255.0M, operating cash flow of $595.0M, and free cash flow of $27.3M (+105.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAIA closed FY2025 with $3.48B in total assets against $814.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.52, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.23B	$255.0M	$595.0M	$27.3M	$3.48B	$814.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.21B	$362.1M	$583.7M	-$459.9M	$3.17B	$741.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.88B	$354.9M	$577.9M	$448.3M	$5.03B	$1.18B

3. SAIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Saia Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIA) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $343.07 (+5.68% 1D, market cap $9.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 166 tracked Industrials issuers, SAIA ranks #103 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAIA compare to TFII and KNX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), SAIA carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, TFII (TFI International Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $9.25B) and KNX (Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 150.9x, ROIC 1.9%, cap $9.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ZTO leads on capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAIA?

Per SAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001177702), Saia Inc. generated $3.23B in revenue (+0.8% YoY), $255.0M in net income, and $27.3M in free cash flow against $3.48B in total assets and $814.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAIA last traded at $343.07 (+5.68% on volume of 780,681 shares), positioning the stock +0.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($341.65) and -11.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($388.09). Across its 52-week range of $249.32 to $494.71, SAIA sits at the 38.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($314.94 to $371.20).