ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$19.88 +0.66% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $15.31B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$28 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $19.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
50.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.41>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE20% OF RANGE
L: $18$19.88H: $26
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (25% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ZTO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

12.5% ROIC with 25.0% gross margin and 6.31% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.41 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

Put/Call 0.79x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ZTO
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live ZTO Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ZTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.26%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $20.02H $20.25L $20.02C $20.15VOL 1.46M
RES: $23.57SUP: $17.80SMA50: $20.31SMA200: $22.87
$26.40$24.38$22.36$20.34$18.32RES $23.57SUP $17.80$20.152026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZTO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ZTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ZTO stock right now?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 25% profit margin (13% return on capital), mixed timing at 12x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ZTO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ZTO's 12-month base price target is $20.33 (range $15.86 to $27.51), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.