ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$19.88 +0.66% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $15.31B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$28 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $19.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ZTO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$965.8M (13.8% FCF Margin)
Revenue$7.02BGross Profit $1.75B (25%)Cost of Sales $5.27BOp Profit $1.50B (21.3%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $256.9MNet Profit$1.30B (18.5%)Tax/Other $199.4M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $7.02B
FY24
Rev $6.07B
FY25
Rev $7.02B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$7.02B25%21.3%$1.30B$965.8M12.3%
FY 2024$6.07B31%26.6%$1.21B$852.3M15%
FY 2023$7.02B0%20.1%$1.23B$1.88B21.9%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring ZTO)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of ZTO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
ZTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.26%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $20.02H $20.25L $20.02C $20.15VOL 1.46M
RES: $23.57SUP: $17.80SMA50: $20.31SMA200: $22.87
$26.40$24.38$22.36$20.34$18.32RES $23.57SUP $17.80$20.152026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZTO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ZTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ZTO converted $7.0B of revenue into a 25% gross margin, 21.3% operating margin, and $965.8M in free cash flow (13.8% FCF margin).