ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$19.88 +0.66% NYSE β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sellβ€”but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $15.31B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$28 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $19.00
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.31% Total Yield
3.51% Cash ($0.70/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
36.2% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $23,457

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,246/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.9K
Yr 2
$12.9K
Yr 3
$14.1K
Yr 4
$15.3K
Yr 5
$16.7K
Yr 6
$18.2K
Yr 7
$19.8K
Yr 8
$21.5K
Yr 9
$23.5K
Yr 10
πŸ”΄ SUNDAY NIGHT PREP β€’ 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher + Senior Cash-Flow & Income Strategist

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Collecting Safe Yield & Upside in ZTO & Top A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ZTO and its top sector rival
  • βœ“The Top 5 Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with heavy executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes free daily Morning Market Weather & signal upgrade/downgrade dispatch
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
ZTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.26%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $20.02H $20.25L $20.02C $20.15VOL 1.46M
RES: $23.57SUP: $17.80SMA50: $20.31SMA200: $22.87
$26.40$24.38$22.36$20.34$18.32RES $23.57SUP $17.80$20.152026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZTO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

ZTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does ZTO pay a dividend and is it safe?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (ZTO) offers a 3.51% cash dividend yield ($0.70 annualized) and 5.31% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.