Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SAH / forecast

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Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$63.61 +0.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (16% profit margin, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $2.01B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SAH Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $63.61: 157.2 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $52.16

$8,200

$-1,800 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $67.33

$10,585

+$585 (+5.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $79.45

$12,490

+$2,490 (+24.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$70	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$75	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$60	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SAH Tape Review)

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SAH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.38%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-01O $64.62H $65.40L $64.30C $63.61VOL 18.50M

RES: $67.00SUP: $62.70SMA50: $63.21SMA200: $60.73

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SAH Butterfly Map → + Track SAH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

9.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #158 of 1011 ⚔️ GPI vs SAH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SAH vs. GPI, ABG, OPLN, RUSHA)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) ranks #158 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #414 by equity capitalization ($2.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABG leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while GPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. GPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SAH at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SAH ACTIVE Sonic Automotive Inc.	B-	71/100	16.9x	15.7%	11.1%	+0.78%	$2.01B	Benchmark Subject
GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc.	B+	78/100	9.5x	16.0%	21.0%	+4.18%	$3.10B	/gpi-vs-sah →
ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc	D	49/100	7.3x	17.1%	14.0%	+2.97%	$3.58B	/abg-vs-sah →
OPLN OPENLANE Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	—	9.5%	+2.70%	$4.73B	/opln-vs-sah →
RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc. Cl A	C	63/100	19.1x	20.7%	13.7%	+4.41%	$5.08B	/rusha-vs-sah →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) reported GAAP revenue of $15.15B (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.22B , and +5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $118.7M, operating cash flow of $567.4M, and free cash flow of $417.5M (+634.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAH closed FY2025 with $5.97B in total assets against $1.56B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$15.15B	$118.7M	$567.4M	$417.5M	$5.97B	$1.56B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$14.22B	$216.0M	$109.2M	-$78.1M	$5.90B	$1.51B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.37B	$178.2M	-$15.7M	-$15.7M	—	—

3. SAH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sonic Automotive Inc. (NYSE: SAH) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $63.61 (+0.78% 1D, market cap $2.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SAH ranks #158 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAH compare to GPI and ABG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), SAH carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.9x, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of 11.1%. By comparison, GPI (Group 1 Automotive Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 9.5x, ROIC 21.0%, cap $3.10B) and ABG (Asbury Automotive Group Inc) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABG leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while GPI leads on capital efficiency (21.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAH?

Per SAH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043509), Sonic Automotive Inc. generated $15.15B in revenue (+6.5% YoY), $118.7M in net income, and $417.5M in free cash flow against $5.97B in total assets and $1.56B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (16% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAH last traded at $63.61 (+0.78% on volume of 480,469 shares), positioning the stock +0.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($63.21) and +4.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($60.73). Across its 52-week range of $49.91 to $71.54, SAH sits at the 63.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($60.94 to $66.28).

SAH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SAH's 12-month stock price target?

Sonic Automotive Inc. (SAH) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $67.33 (+5.8% from $63.61), with a bull-case target of $79.45 and a bear-case floor of $52.16.